Alverca’s alarming eight-match winless run in the Primeira Liga puts them under pressure as they welcome a high-flying Sporting side. However, we predict a 3-1 away win as Sporting are brimming with confidence following an amazing Champions League win over Bodo. The hosts remain competitive at home (1.80 PPG across their last five) but continue to struggle in both boxes, scoring just 0.90 goals per match overall and keeping only 20% clean sheets. Their defensive injuries—Abdulai, Chissumba, Diarra, and Mendes—further complicate matters, especially against one of the league’s most dynamic attacks.
Sporting arrive full of belief after their dramatic Champions League comeback against Bodo, and their domestic numbers remain elite. The Lions have won 100% of their last five home league games and average 3.00 goals per match across their last 10. Even away from home, they maintain strong efficiency (1.60 PPG) with an impressive xGA of just 1.00. Forward Maxi Araujo is doubtful, but Sporting’s depth should compensate.
Sporting's better form, higher scoring rate, and Alverca’s injuries suggest clear advantage. Therefore, Away Win is our main betting tip for this Primeira Liga matchup, alongside Sporting Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (Lions average 3.0 goals recently; Alverca concede 1.60 per match).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Alverca vs Sporting prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Alverca 1 - 3 Sporting
Alverca vs Sporting Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-3 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 125 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ -163 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ 260 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Sporting -1.5 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Sporting -1 @ -125 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -600 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Sporting to Win @ -1400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Sporting to Win/Sporting to Win @ -125 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Sporting - No @ -125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Alverca vs Sporting?
You can place your bets on Alverca vs Sporting at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferAlverca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwldlddddd | 1.20 |
| Home | wwddd | 1.80 |
| Away | llddd | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.27 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.62 | 1.20 | 2.04 |
Sporting Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwwwwdlw | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | dwdl | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 2.03 | 2.46 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.94 | 0.92 | 0.98 |
Alverca vs Sporting Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Alverca (33%)
3 Matches
Sporting (67%)
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