Following a 2-2 draw with Sporting CP in Lisbon, Arouca are eager to return to winning ways and put an end to their three-game winless run. Los Lobos held the reigning champions to a thrilling draw and will take confidence from that performance, while midfielder Hyun-ju Lee is back from international duty but is unlikely to start. Arouca have been particularly strong at home, winning 60% of their last 10 matches and averaging 2.40 goals per game, with BTTS landing in 80% of those fixtures.
Estrela, on the other hand, aim to recover from a 2-0 defeat to Academico Viseu. Former Sevilla midfielder Joan Jordan is pushing for a start, while there are no fresh injury worries for the away side. Estrela have yet to lose on the road in the new Primeira Liga campaign and have been involved in some entertaining away games, averaging 4.80 goals per match. Os Tricolores have also scored 2.40 goals per away game, although they have conceded the same number.
Arouca are a real force to be reckoned with at home and leading the H2H record. Therefore, Home Win should be considered, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (given Estrela’s 4.80-goal away average).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Arouca vs Estrela prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arouca 2 - 1 Estrela
Arouca vs Estrela Betting Tips
- European Handicap: FC Arouca +1 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Where Can You Place Bets on Arouca vs Estrela?
You can place your bets on Arouca vs Estrela at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferArouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwwlwdld | 1.80 |
| Home | dwwwl | 2.00 |
| Away | wwldd | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.46 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.18 | 1.92 |
Estrela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddddwdwdl | 1.20 |
| Home | dddwl | 1.20 |
| Away | lddwd | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.10 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.47 | 1.44 |
Arouca vs Estrela Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arouca (50%)
6 Matches
Estrela (33%)
Arouca vs Estrela Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Aston Villa
Man City
Napoli
AS Roma
Chelsea
Tottenham
Inter
Fiorentina
Liverpool
Brighton
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
