Arouca head this match with confidence after a narrow 1-0 win over AFS, and with no fresh injury issues, but given their negative H2H record against Sporting CP, we predict a 3-1 away win. Arouca's overall form (WDLW) remains mixed, and at home they collect just 1.00 point per game, scoring 0.75 goals per match. Their defensive numbers are slightly better, keeping 25% home clean sheets, but they still concede 2.00 goals per game on average.
Sporting, meanwhile, continue their push to close Porto’s lead at the top. With both Araujo and Hjumland returning from suspension, Ruben Amorim regains key midfield pieces. Sporting’s overall form (WDLWW) reflects stability, and they average an impressive 2.40 points per game away. Goals have not been an issue: they score 2.00 per away match, though defensive lapses have led to 100% BTTS in their away fixtures. Their expected goals of 1.30 away still suggests control in most games.
History strongly favors Sporting, who have won 14 of 17 meetings, and their superior quality should dictate proceedings once again. Considering huge quality gap and dominant H2H record, Away Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Sporting -1.5.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Arouca vs Sporting prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arouca 1 - 3 Sporting
Arouca vs Sporting Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-3
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ -150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Arouca vs Sporting?
You can place your bets on Arouca vs Sporting at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferArouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddlw | 0.80 |
| Home | llwd | 1.00 |
| Away | lldlw | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.75 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.44 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.56 |
Sporting Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlww | 2.00 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | dlwwd | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.69 | 2.08 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.27 | 1.88 |
Arouca vs Sporting Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arouca (6%)
17 Matches
Sporting (82%)
Burton
West Ham
Man City
Salford
Southampton
Leicester
Lazio
Atalanta
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Inter
Juventus
