Benfica vs Braga Prediction & Betting Tips | 11/05/2026

Benfica vs Braga Prediction and Betting Tips | 11 May 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

10 May 2026 • 21:22 UTC • 1 min read

Benfica vs Braga Prediction and Betting Tips 11 May 2026

Benfica host Braga in a crucial clash in the Portuguese title and European race, looking to recover from a 2–2 draw with Famalicao. As Benfica want this triumph more than Braga, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Eagles' form remains strong overall (2.10 points per game in the last 10), with an attacking average of 2.10 goals scored per match and 3.20 total goals per game. At home they are particularly dominant, winning 75% of matches and scoring 2.75 goals per game. However, they will be without key defender Nicolas Otamendi due to suspension, which slightly weakens their back line.

Braga travel to Lisbon in good shape as well, averaging 1.80 points per game and remaining competitive in the race for European qualification. The Reds score 1.50 goals per match and concede just 1.10, with a strong away record (2.25 points per game and 75% win rate in recent away fixtures). Midfielder Gorby returns from suspension, boosting their midfield options.

Considering Benfica's home record and superior squad depth, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Benfica Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (H2H and recent form suggest an open game).

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:15.

What is our Benfica vs Braga prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Benfica 2 - 1 Braga

Benfica vs Braga Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Franjo Ivanovic @ 100 Odds
First Goalscorer: Franjo Ivanovic @ 400 Odds
To be Booked: Jean-Baptiste Gorby @ -111 Odds
Asian Handicap: Braga +1.5 @ -134 Odds
European Handicap: Braga +2 @ -138 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
Draw No Bet: Benfica to Win @ -800 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Benfica to Win/Benfica to Win @ 100 Odds
Clean Sheet: Benfica - No @ -163 Odds

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Benfica Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwdwwdwwwd	2.10
Home	dwww	2.50
Away	lwwdwd	1.83

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	75%	50%
Average Goals Per Game	3.20	3.50	3.00
Scored	2.10	2.75	1.67
Conceded	1.10	0.75	1.33
BTTS	80%	50%	100%
Clean Sheets	20%	50%	0%
Failed to Score	0%	0%	0%
Expected Goals	1.74	2.03	1.55
Expected Goals Against	1.35	1.19	1.45

Braga Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdwwdwlwdl	1.80
Home	dwdwd	1.80
Away	wwwll	1.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	40%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	2.40	3.00
Scored	1.50	1.40	1.60
Conceded	1.20	1.00	1.40
BTTS	70%	80%	60%
Clean Sheets	30%	20%	40%
Failed to Score	0%	0%	0%
Expected Goals	1.16	1.23	1.10
Expected Goals Against	1.21	1.01	1.40