Benfica host Braga in a crucial clash in the Portuguese title and European race, looking to recover from a 2–2 draw with Famalicao. As Benfica want this triumph more than Braga, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Eagles' form remains strong overall (2.10 points per game in the last 10), with an attacking average of 2.10 goals scored per match and 3.20 total goals per game. At home they are particularly dominant, winning 75% of matches and scoring 2.75 goals per game. However, they will be without key defender Nicolas Otamendi due to suspension, which slightly weakens their back line.
Braga travel to Lisbon in good shape as well, averaging 1.80 points per game and remaining competitive in the race for European qualification. The Reds score 1.50 goals per match and concede just 1.10, with a strong away record (2.25 points per game and 75% win rate in recent away fixtures). Midfielder Gorby returns from suspension, boosting their midfield options.
Considering Benfica's home record and superior squad depth, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Benfica Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (H2H and recent form suggest an open game).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:15.
What is our Benfica vs Braga prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Benfica 2 - 1 Braga
Benfica vs Braga Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ -125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ 300 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Braga +1.5 @ -149 Odds
- European Handicap: Braga +2 @ -150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Benfica to Win @ -700 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Benfica to Win/Benfica to Win @ 110 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Benfica - No @ -163 Odds
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View OfferBenfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdwwdwwwd | 2.10 |
| Home | dwww | 2.50 |
| Away | lwwdwd | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.75 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.75 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 2.03 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.19 | 1.45 |
Braga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwdwlwdl | 1.80 |
| Home | dwdwd | 1.80 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 1.01 | 1.40 |
Benfica vs Braga Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Benfica (60%)
43 Matches
Braga (28%)
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