What is our Benfica vs Guimaraes prediction?
Benfica
2 - 0
Guimaraes
Our prediction for this match: Benfica 2 - 0 Guimaraes
Benfica vs Guimaraes Preview
Benfica will be looking to recover from a heartbreaking 3-1 defeat to Porto when they take on Guimaraes at Estadio da Luz, with the Eagles looking to extend their winning run at home to three games. Benfica have been in excellent form overall, winning 80% of their last 10 matches while averaging 2.90 goals per game. Clement Lenglet is suspended following his sending-off in the Primeira Liga derby, while Dodi Lukebakio is pushing for a start after a couple of excellent performances for Belgium. The fact that Marco Silva has no fresh injury worries supports our betting angle.
Guimaraes, meanwhile, are on a four-game winless run in the Portuguese top flight after sharing the spoils with Moreirense in a 1-1 draw before the international break. The visitors have struggled badly on the road, losing all five of their last five away matches and conceding 2.60 goals per game. Forward Gustavo is doubtful after picking up a knock against Moreirense, with Miguel Noqueira his potential replacement. Guimaraes have also failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 10 matches.
Benfica’s outstanding home record, attacking potential and dominant H2H record make Home Win our safest betting option, alongside Benfica Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals total (Benfica’s 3.67-goal home average).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 18:00.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Sun 11 Oct 2026, 18:00UK time
Benfica vs Guimaraes Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Benfica 2-0 Guimaraes | 6/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Benfica | 1/14 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Benfica / Benfica | 8/11 | |
| Asian Handicap: Benfica -1.5 | 7/10 | |
| European Handicap: Benfica -1 | 4/6 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis | 4/7 | |
| First Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis | 13/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 10/11 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/8 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 8/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Benfica Clean Sheet: Yes | 1/1 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferBenfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwwwwwwl | 2.50 |
| Home | www | 3.00 |
| Away | dwwwwwl | 2.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 71% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.67 | 3.71 |
| Scored | 2.90 | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| BTTS | 60% | 100% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 0% | 57% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.08 | 2.72 | 1.80 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.88 | 0.48 | 1.05 |
Guimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllllwldld | 0.50 |
| Home | llwdd | 1.00 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 2.11 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.98 | 0.82 | 1.13 |
Benfica vs Guimaraes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Benfica (72%)
39 Matches
Guimaraes (10%)
Benfica vs Guimaraes Past Results
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