Benfica return to the Estadio da Luz aiming to consolidate their strong recent form, having collected 2.00 points per game across their last 10 matches. As Vitoria Guimaraes suit Benfica, our prediction firmly points toward 2-1 home win. Mourinho’s side score freely at home, averaging 2.20 goals, and their xG of 2.36 at this venue shows they consistently create high-quality chances. Even with Amar Dedic and Antonio Silva suspended, the squad depth should keep their defensive structure intact, especially against a Guimaraes side struggling away from home.
Vitoria Guimaraes head into Saturday's game after a 2-1 defeat to Famalicao and with worrying away numbers: four straight away losses, conceding 3.00 goals per game on the road while failing to keep a single clean sheet. Their overall form sits at 1.00 PPG, and their xGA away (1.25) suggests they often allow opponents to create clear opportunities. Historically, the matchup also leans heavily toward Benfica, who have won 27 of the last 38 meetings.
Given Benfica's fine form, stronger squad, and dominant H2H record, punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Home Win. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals bet boasts big value as Benfica average 3.40 goals per home match and Guimaraes concede heavily away.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Benfica vs Guimaraes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Benfica 2 - 1 Guimaraes
Benfica vs Guimaraes Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ -175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ 260 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Guimaraes +2 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: Guimaraes +3 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -800 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Benfica to Win @ -1600 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Benfica to Win/Benfica to Win @ -138 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Benfica - No @ -125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Benfica vs Guimaraes?
You can place your bets on Benfica vs Guimaraes at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferBenfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwlwlwdw | 2.00 |
| Home | wwlwd | 2.00 |
| Away | dwlww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.07 | 2.36 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.23 | 1.30 | 1.15 |
Guimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwlwldll | 1.00 |
| Home | wlwwdl | 1.67 |
| Away | llll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.17 | 4.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.29 | 1.25 |
Benfica vs Guimaraes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Benfica (71%)
38 Matches
Guimaraes (11%)
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