Braga return home aiming to build on their 1–0 win at Tondela, though they will be without defender Gustaf Lagerbielke after his red card. Despite his absence, we predict a 2-1 home win as Alverca are not regarded as good travellers. The Reds have enough depth to adjust, and their overall numbers remain strong: 1.70 points per game, 50% win rate, and 1.60 goals scored per match. At home, they average 2.00 PPG, concede just 1.00 goal, and keep clean sheets 50% of the time. Their expected metrics—1.34 xG and 1.19 xGA—show a well-balanced side that controls most games.
Alverca, meanwhile, are high on confidence after a 2–1 win over Moreirense, and with no fresh injuries in the squad. Their overall form sits at 1.30 PPG, boosted heavily by their home performances (2.00 PPG). Away from home, however, they struggle badly with just 0.60 PPG, conceding 2.40 goals on average. Despite a respectable 30% clean sheet rate, they fail to score in 30% of their matches. Their away xG (0.92) compared to xGA (1.66) suggests they are often second-best on the road.
Given Braga's superior quality and far stronger home numbers, our prediction leans toward Home Win. Additionally, Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals markets seem appealing as the Reds average 2.70 total goals per match.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 25 January 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Braga vs Alverca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Braga 2 - 1 Alverca
Braga vs Alverca Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Fran Navarro @ 120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Braga vs Alverca?
You can place your bets on Braga vs Alverca at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferBraga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwllw | 1.70 |
| Home | wd | 2.00 |
| Away | dwllw | 1.63 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 38% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 13% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.08 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 1.10 | 1.22 |
Alverca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllww | 1.30 |
| Home | dwlww | 2.00 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.14 | 1.37 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.48 | 1.66 |
Braga vs Alverca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Braga (100%)
1 Matches
Alverca (0%)
Burton
West Ham
Man City
Salford
Southampton
Leicester
Lazio
Atalanta
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Inter
Juventus
