A correct-score prediction of 2–1 to Braga opens this derby-style clash between Braga and Vitoria Guimaraes, with the hosts aiming to bounce back from their 2–1 defeat to Gil Vicente. Despite missing Gorby, Niakaté, and El Ouazzani, Braga remain a force at home—three wins from three, 3.00 goals scored per match, and zero goals conceded in those games underline their Estadio Municipal dominance. Their expected goals at home (1.55) also sits comfortably above Guimaraes’ away xG (1.46), reinforcing their attacking reliability.
Guimaraes come into this fixture fresh off a 2–1 win over Estrela but must cope without suspended defender Rodrigo Abascal. Their away form (D W L L) is uneven, and they concede 2.00 goals per road match. Still, with BTTS landing in 75% of their away fixtures and an overall 3.00 average goals per game, they rarely go quietly.
Historically, Braga hold the upper hand with 19 wins from 36 H2Hs, and 72% of meetings produce over 1.5 goals—typical of this lively northern rivalry. With Braga’s perfect home record against Guimaraes’ shaky away defence, the hosts look well-placed to edge another high-intensity encounter. Taking everything into account, Braga to win, Over 2.5 goals, and Both teams to score emerge as the most logical betting angles based on form and scoring trends.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Braga vs Guimaraes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Braga 2 - 1 Guimaraes
Braga vs Guimaraes Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -112 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Pau Victor @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Pau Victor @ 350 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Guimaraes +1.5 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Guimaraes +2 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Braga to Win @ -700 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Braga to Win/Braga to Win @ 125 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Braga - No @ -138 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Braga vs Guimaraes?
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View OfferBraga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwl | 1.90 |
| Home | www | 3.00 |
| Away | lwdwl | 1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.57 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 3.00 | 1.57 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 0% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 100% | 43% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.55 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.07 | 0.85 | 1.16 |
Guimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwlw | 1.60 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.00 |
| Away | dwll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.67 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.57 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.38 |
Braga vs Guimaraes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Braga (53%)
36 Matches
Guimaraes (25%)
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