Casa Pia return home after a heavy 3-0 defeat to Sporting CP. With Jose Fonte doubtful after a knock, Casa Pia may be tested defensively, but AFS’ suspensions point to a narrow 1-0 home win. Casa Pia’s home record remains poor, averaging just 0.50 points per game and scoring only 0.50 goals per home match. They have failed to score in 40% of all league outings, though their defensive numbers at home—1.25 conceded per match—are more respectable. Forward Claudio Mendes is suspended, though he is not a regular starter.
AFS travel weakened, with key defenders Devenish and Grau both banned, a significant blow for a team already conceding 2.00 goals per match. Their attack has struggled badly, scoring just 0.50 goals per game overall and failing to score in 60% of matches. Away from home, they net only 0.25 goals per game, one of the lowest outputs in the league.
Head-to-head history slightly favours Casa Pia, who are unbeaten in three meetings (one win, two draws). With AFS missing important first-team regulars, we predict Home Win, with additional value on Under 2.5 goals and Casa Pia to Score First.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Friday 23 January 2026 at 20:15.
What is our Casa Pia vs AFS prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Casa Pia 1 - 0 AFS
Casa Pia vs AFS Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Cassiano Dias @ 140 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferCasa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdll | 0.90 |
| Home | ldld | 0.50 |
| Away | wlwll | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 1.75 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.02 | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.22 | 1.47 |
AFS Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlll | 0.60 |
| Home | dldll | 0.50 |
| Away | llwl | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.25 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.13 | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.88 | 1.76 | 2.07 |
Casa Pia vs AFS Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Casa Pia (33%)
3 Matches
AFS (0%)
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