Casa Pia will look to build on a 4-0 Taca de Portugal win Alpendorada, but their home form remains a major concern. Therefore, we predict that they will play out a 2-2 draw with Alverca on Friday evening. Casa Pia concede too easily at home (2.50 per match), though their attack generally produces chances. Casa Pia’s away numbers are far stronger, suggesting inconsistency rather than overall weakness. David Sousa's (defender) injury definitely goes in favour of our betting prediction.
Alverca arrive in similarly patchy form, collecting only one win from their last five, yet their away games tend to be wide-open, averaging 3.80 goals. Defensive issues are evident for both teams, and with each conceding around two goals per match, another high-scoring contest feels likely. There are no fresh injury worries in the away team, with duo Chiquinho - Figueirado remaining doubtful.
Taking everything into account, Over 2.5 goals is our main pick for this Primeira Liga fixture, with additional value on BTTS and Over 3.5 goals.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 29 November 2025 at 15:30.
What is our Casa Pia vs Alverca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Casa Pia 2 - 2 Alverca
Casa Pia vs Alverca Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Cassiano Dias @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferCasa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldw | 1.20 |
| Home | lddl | 0.50 |
| Away | lwldw | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 4.00 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.11 | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 1.12 | 1.25 |
Alverca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllld | 1.10 |
| Home | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Away | lwdll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.31 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.47 |
Casa Pia vs Alverca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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