What is our Casa Pia vs Benfica prediction?
Casa Pia
1 - 2
Benfica
Our prediction for this match: Casa Pia 1 - 2 Benfica
Casa Pia vs Benfica Preview
Casa Pia return home looking to recover from a heavy 4–0 loss to Estrela, but given Benfica's signs of improvement, our prediction leans toward 2-1 away win. Despite the aforementioned setback, Cash Pia's home form has been strong (DWWD), averaging 2.25 goals scored and seeing BTTS land in 100% of those matches. However, defensively they remain vulnerable, conceding 1.75 goals per game and keeping no clean sheets at home.
Benfica head into the local derby in solid form after a comfortable 3–0 win over Guimaraes. The return of António Silva strengthens their defense, which already concedes just 0.90 goals per game. The Eagles average 1.70 goals scored and maintain a balanced approach, with a strong 1.95 xG. Away from home, they remain consistent, winning 60% of matches. Right-back Amar Dedic remains on the sidelines through suspension, but Jose Mourinho has strength in depth.
Considering Benfica's superior squad quality and consistent performances home and away, we are tempted to bet on Away Win. Additionally, Benfica Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals bets seem appealing as Casa Pia's home games are high-scoring.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday, 6 April 2026 at 20:45.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Mon 6 Apr 2026, 20:45UK time
Casa Pia vs Benfica Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Casa Pia 1-2 Benfica | 17/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/9 | |
| Draw No Bet: Benfica | 1/20 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Benfica / Benfica | 4/6 | |
| Asian Handicap: Casa Pia +2.5 | 1/2 | |
| European Handicap: Casa Pia +3 | 1/2 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis | 4/7 | |
| First Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis | 5/2 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 21/20 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 19/40 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Benfica Clean Sheet: No | 10/11 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Casa Pia vs Benfica?
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferCasa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldwdwlddl | 1.00 |
| Home | dwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | lldldl | 0.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 4.00 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 2.25 | 0.17 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 100% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 0% | 83% |
| Expected Goals | 0.95 | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
Benfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwlwlwdww | 2.00 |
| Home | wlwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | dwlww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.95 | 2.11 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.21 | 1.15 |
Casa Pia vs Benfica Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Casa Pia (14%)
7 Matches
Benfica (57%)
Casa Pia vs Benfica Past Results
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