Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Prediction & Betting Tips | 16/05/2026

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Prediction and Betting Tips | 16 May 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

14 May 2026 • 08:20 UTC • 1 min read

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Prediction and Betting Tips 16 May 2026

Casa Pia will look to secure Primeira Liga survival when they host Rio Ave in a tense final-round encounter. As Rio Ave have nothing to play for in Saturday's game, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Lisbon side boosted their confidence with a hard-fought 1-0 win over Guimaraes last time out, and they receive a massive squad boost as Brito, Cassiano, Geraldes, Livolant, and Mohamed all return from suspension. Despite struggling for consistency, Casa Pia remain defensively competitive, conceding only 0.80 goals per game at home across their last five matches.

Rio Ave head into the clash with little pressure after already securing safety in 13th place. Their recent away form has actually been impressive, winning three of the last four road matches while conceding just 0.75 goals per away game. However, suspensions to Petrasso and Ryan Guilherme reduce their options for the season finale. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team.

Considering Casa Pia's greater motivation and return of key player, Home Win should be considered. Additionally, Casa Pia to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals bets are worth considering (both teams tend to play in low-scoring matches).

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 18:00.

What is our Casa Pia vs Rio Ave prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Casa Pia 1 - 0 Rio Ave

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-0 @ 650 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Cassiano Dias @ 100 Odds
First Goalscorer: Cassiano Dias @ 350 Odds
Asian Handicap: Rio Ave +1 @ -143 Odds
European Handicap: Rio Ave +2 @ -225 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -600 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 500 Odds
Clean Sheet: Casa Pia - No @ -188 Odds

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Casa Pia Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ddldldlllw	0.70
Home	dddll	0.60
Away	dlllw	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	0%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	1.80	1.20	2.40
Scored	0.50	0.40	0.60
Conceded	1.30	0.80	1.80
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
Clean Sheets	30%	20%	40%
Failed to Score	50%	60%	40%
Expected Goals	0.99	0.89	1.10
Expected Goals Against	1.34	1.22	1.47

Rio Ave Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwwwlwdldl	1.50
Home	dwlddl	1.00
Away	wwwl	2.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	17%	75%
Average Goals Per Game	2.30	2.50	2.00
Scored	1.10	1.00	1.25
Conceded	1.20	1.50	0.75
BTTS	50%	67%	25%
Clean Sheets	40%	33%	50%
Failed to Score	30%	33%	25%
Expected Goals	1.49	1.76	1.07
Expected Goals Against	1.39	1.49	1.25