What is our Casa Pia vs Rio Ave prediction?
Casa Pia
1 - 0
Rio Ave
Our prediction for this match: Casa Pia 1 - 0 Rio Ave
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Preview
Casa Pia will look to secure Primeira Liga survival when they host Rio Ave in a tense final-round encounter. As Rio Ave have nothing to play for in Saturday's game, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Lisbon side boosted their confidence with a hard-fought 1-0 win over Guimaraes last time out, and they receive a massive squad boost as Brito, Cassiano, Geraldes, Livolant, and Mohamed all return from suspension. Despite struggling for consistency, Casa Pia remain defensively competitive, conceding only 0.80 goals per game at home across their last five matches.
Rio Ave head into the clash with little pressure after already securing safety in 13th place. Their recent away form has actually been impressive, winning three of the last four road matches while conceding just 0.75 goals per away game. However, suspensions to Petrasso and Ryan Guilherme reduce their options for the season finale. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team.
Considering Casa Pia's greater motivation and return of key player, Home Win should be considered. Additionally, Casa Pia to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals bets are worth considering (both teams tend to play in low-scoring matches).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday, 16 May 2026 at 18:00.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Sat 16 May 2026, 18:00UK time
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Casa Pia 1-0 Rio Ave | 6/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Casa Pia | 2/7 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Casa Pia / Casa Pia | 7/4 | |
| Asian Handicap: Casa Pia -0.5 | 7/10 | |
| European Handicap: Rio Ave +2 | 4/11 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Cassiano Dias | 21/20 | |
| First Goalscorer: Cassiano Dias | 7/2 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 19/20 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 11/4 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 9/10 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/9 | |
| Casa Pia Clean Sheet: Yes | 11/8 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferCasa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddldldlllw | 0.70 |
| Home | dddll | 0.60 |
| Away | dlllw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 0.99 | 0.89 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.22 | 1.47 |
Rio Ave Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwlwdldl | 1.50 |
| Home | dwlddl | 1.00 |
| Away | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.76 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.49 | 1.25 |
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Casa Pia (20%)
10 Matches
Rio Ave (50%)
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Past Results
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