Estoril look to build on their solid home rhythm, having collected 1.60 PPG in front of their fans and scoring 2.00 goals per home match. Given Alverca's difficulties on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. Estoril's attacking consistency is backed by strong underlying numbers (1.63 xG at home), and with 80% BTTS in home fixtures, Estoril matches tend to be open. Defensively, they remain imperfect at 1.80 goals conceded per home game, but their ability to create chances usually compensates. They will, however, be without important defender Ricard Sanchez, who is suspended, while Rafik Guitane is away on international duty, although he has not been a key part of the starting XI.
Alverca have been having their ups and downs of late, earning only 1.10 PPG overall, and their away record remains unstable with 1.33 goals scored but 1.83 conceded on the road. Their expected goals numbers away (1.06 xG) show a team that struggles to generate clear chances. Offensively, they have failed to score in 40% of their matches, and doubts over Chiquinho and Leo Chu further reduce their attacking depth and unpredictability.
Considering Estoril's better home numbers and stronger scoring profile, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, with additional value on BTTS and Over 2.5 goals as both sides average high goal totals (3.50 & 2.90 per match).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 27 December 2025 at 20:30.
What is our Estoril vs Alverca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Estoril 2 - 1 Alverca
Estoril vs Alverca Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Fabrico Andrade @ 105 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferEstoril Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldlw | 1.50 |
| Home | dwldw | 1.60 |
| Away | dwwll | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.60 | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.27 | 1.37 |
Alverca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwll | 1.10 |
| Home | ldwl | 1.00 |
| Away | dllwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.50 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.14 | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.51 | 1.39 |
Estoril vs Alverca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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