What is our Estoril vs Casa Pia prediction?
Estoril
1 - 0
Casa Pia
Our prediction for this match: Estoril 1 - 0 Casa Pia
Estoril vs Casa Pia Preview
Estoril will be desperate to record their first win of the season when they face Casa Pia on Matchday 7, looking to recover from a 1-0 loss to Braga. Os Canarinhos conceded a late goal following Ferro’s sending-off, with the experienced defender now suspended for this game. Forward Fabricio Garcia also picked up a knock in that match, meaning the duo could be sorely missed. Estoril have yet to win any of their last 10 matches, scoring just 0.50 goals per game and failing to score in 60% of their recent home fixtures.
Casa Pia, on the other hand, aim to bounce back from a heavy 4-1 loss to Porto where they experienced all sorts of problems at the back. Still, the visitors managed 1.53 xG in that match, suggesting they were not completely toothless going forward. Casa Pia have scored only 0.50 goals per game across their last 10, though, and have failed to score in 80% of their away matches. There are no fresh injury worries for the visitors ahead of Sunday's encounter.
As Casa Pia suit Estoril, our main prediction leans toward Home Win, alongside Estoril to Win to Nil and Under 3.5 goals (only 42% of the previous 12 H2H meetings produced four or more goals).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 18:00.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Sun 20 Sep 2026, 18:00UK time
Estoril vs Casa Pia Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Estoril 1-0 Casa Pia | 13/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/4 | |
| Draw No Bet: Estoril | 1/4 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Estoril / Estoril | 13/8 | |
| Asian Handicap: Estoril -0.5 | 27/40 | |
| European Handicap: Casa Pia +2 | 2/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Yanis Begraoui | 11/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Yanis Begraoui | 15/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 3/1 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 43/40 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Estoril Clean Sheet: Yes | 6/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferEstoril Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddldllldl | 0.40 |
| Home | lldld | 0.40 |
| Away | ddlll | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.60 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.13 | 1.74 |
Casa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwlllldl | 0.90 |
| Home | dwlll | 0.80 |
| Away | wdlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 3.40 | 0.80 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.43 | 1.78 |
Estoril vs Casa Pia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Estoril (50%)
12 Matches
Casa Pia (8%)
Estoril vs Casa Pia Past Results
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