Estoril enter this match on the back of a convincing 5–0 win over Estrela, and no changes are expected to their starting XI. Given Guimaraes' attacking potential, our prediction leans toward a 2-2 draw. Estoril's home numbers are strong: 2.00 points per game, 60% wins, and an impressive 4.40 average goals per home match. Os Canarinhos score 2.60 goals per game on this ground, while conceding 1.80, which naturally leads to high-tempo encounters. Their xG profile (1.59 xG, 1.34 xGA) suggests a team that attacks with confidence but often leaves space behind.
Guimaraes, meanwhile, produced a solid performance despite a narrow 1–0 defeat to league leaders Porto, but they travel without the suspended Beni and Arcanjo. Still, their away form is excellent: 2.50 PPG, 75% wins, and only 0.50 goals conceded per away match. Their away xGA (1.32) shows discipline, while 1.50 goals scored on their travels highlights real efficiency.
As Estoril home matches average 4.40 goals, we believe that there is big value in betting on Over 2.5 goals, alongside BTTS and Guimaraes or Draw as they are a more experienced side.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 24 January 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Estoril vs Guimaraes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Estoril 2 - 2 Guimaraes
Estoril vs Guimaraes Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Fabrico Andrade @ 110 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferEstoril Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlw | 1.60 |
| Home | wldww | 2.00 |
| Away | wlllw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.59 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.35 |
Guimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwl | 1.70 |
| Home | llwwl | 1.17 |
| Away | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.17 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.55 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.29 | 1.32 |
Estoril vs Guimaraes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Estoril (24%)
21 Matches
Guimaraes (57%)
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