Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips | 20/03/2026

Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction and Betting Tips | 20 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

19 March 2026 • 08:46 UTC • 1 min read

Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction and Betting Tips 20 March 2026

Estrela and Casa Pia meet in a crucial relegation six-pointer, with both sides desperate to gain momentum in the survival battle. As both teams are likely to adopt a cautious approach, we predict a 1-1 draw. Os Tricolores enter this match weakened by injuries to Encada and van Hooijdonk and come off a 2-1 defeat to Rio Ave. Their recent form is poor, collecting just 0.70 points per game across their last 10 matches and winning only 10% of those. Defensively, they concede 2.10 goals per game, and their xGA sits at 1.67, reflecting persistent vulnerability at the back.

Casa Pia, meanwhile, arrive after a goalless draw with Estoril and look slightly more stable, averaging 1.10 points per game over their last 10. While their attack is inconsistent—failing to score in 50% of recent matches—their defence has been marginally better, keeping 30% clean sheets. Away form remains a concern, however, with 0 wins and just 0.40 PPG on the road.

The H2H balance is tight (4–3 in Estrela’s favour), with BTTS landing in only 29% of meetings, suggesting another tense, low-margin battle. As both teams struggle offensively and H2H trends support a close encounter, we are tempted to bet on Draw, with additional value on Half-Time Draw and Under 3.5 goals.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:15.

What is our Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Estrela 1 - 1 Casa Pia

Estrela vs Casa Pia Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 450 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -154 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Joao Gastao @ 137 Odds
First Goalscorer: Joao Gastao @ 400 Odds
Asian Handicap: Casa Pia +0.5 @ -200 Odds
European Handicap: Casa Pia +1 @ -200 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -200 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
Clean Sheet: Estrela Amadora - No @ -250 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Estrela vs Casa Pia?

You can place your bets on Estrela vs Casa Pia at the following bookmakers:

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Estrela Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dlldwllddl	0.70
Home	dlwld	1.00
Away	ldldl	0.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	20%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	3.00	3.60	2.40
Scored	0.90	1.20	0.60
Conceded	2.10	2.40	1.80
BTTS	50%	40%	60%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	40%	40%	40%
Expected Goals	1.03	1.13	0.94
Expected Goals Against	1.67	1.63	1.71

Casa Pia Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dlldwdwldd	1.10
Home	ddwwd	1.80
Away	lldld	0.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	40%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	3.20	1.80
Scored	1.00	1.80	0.20
Conceded	1.50	1.40	1.60
BTTS	50%	80%	20%
Clean Sheets	30%	20%	40%
Failed to Score	50%	20%	80%
Expected Goals	0.93	0.88	0.99
Expected Goals Against	1.70	1.70	1.70