What is our Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction?
Estrela
1 - 1
Casa Pia
Our prediction for this match: Estrela 1 - 1 Casa Pia
Estrela vs Casa Pia Preview
Estrela will be eager to get back on track after suffering back-to-back defeats against Academico Viseu and Arouca. Os Tricolores did manage to restore some confidence with a 2-1 Portuguese Cup win over Fazendense, and they will look to carry that momentum into this Primeira Liga clash. Jeremy Arevalo remains in the recovery room, but there are no fresh injury concerns for the hosts. Defensive solidity remains a major issue, though, as Estrela have conceded an average of 1.75 goals per home game and are yet to keep a clean sheet in their last ten matches.
Casa Pia, meanwhile, are looking to bounce back from a 1-0 defeat to Santa Clara in which they managed just 0.45 xG. The visitors have struggled to create chances consistently, scoring only 0.60 goals per game across their last ten outings. There is some encouragement in their away form, with two wins in their last five matches on the road and just 0.80 goals conceded per away game. Key defender David Sousa returns from suspension, providing a timely boost to their backline.
Estrela's shaky defence could give Casa Pia opportunities, but the visitors' lack of goals makes this a difficult match to call. Taking everything into account, Under 3.5 goals seem like a sure bet, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Half-Time Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:30.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Sat 24 Oct 2026, 15:30UK time
Estrela vs Casa Pia Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Estrela 1-1 Casa Pia | 11/2 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 1/1 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 9/2 | |
| Asian Handicap: Casa Pia +1 | 23/40 | |
| European Handicap: Casa Pia +2 | 4/11 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Leandro Antonetti | 6/4 | |
| First Goalscorer: Leandro Antonetti | 5/1 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 19/20 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/8 | |
| Estrela Amadora Clean Sheet: No | 8/15 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferEstrela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dddwdwdllw | 1.40 |
| Home | ddwl | 1.25 |
| Away | ddwdlw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.25 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.25 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.42 | 1.22 |
Casa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllldlwlw | 1.00 |
| Home | wllll | 0.60 |
| Away | lldww | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.11 | 1.07 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.62 | 1.57 | 1.66 |
Estrela vs Casa Pia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Estrela (63%)
8 Matches
Casa Pia (38%)
Estrela vs Casa Pia Past Results
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