Sunday's football game between Estrela and Porto sees a massive gap in quality as the hosts fight to escape the relegation zone while the visitors chase another step toward the Primeira Liga title. As the Dragons look unstoppable at the moment, we predict a 2-0 away win. Estrela come into this match in poor overall form, averaging just 0.80 points per game. Injuries also hurt them, with defender Bernardo Schappo expected to miss out, weakening an already fragile back line.
Porto, by contrast, are in strong championship-contending form, averaging 2.10 points per game. The league leaders score 1.70 goals per match and concede just 0.70, showing clear balance. Their away form is especially strong (75% win rate), and they have kept things tight defensively in most matches. The only concern is defender Zaidu being injured, but squad depth is more than enough to compensate. Head-to-head is heavily one-sided, with Porto winning 80% of the last five meetings.
Given clear quality gap, Porto's strong away form (2.25 PPG), and dominant H2H record, Away Win is our main betting tip for this Primeira Liga matchup, alongside Porto to Win to Nil and Porto to Score First.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Estrela vs Porto prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Estrela 0 - 2 Porto
Estrela vs Porto Betting Tips
- European Handicap: Tie - Porto -2 @ 300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
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View OfferEstrela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllddlwlll | 0.80 |
| Home | wldwl | 1.40 |
| Away | ldlll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.41 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.44 | 1.59 |
Porto Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwddwlwd | 2.10 |
| Home | wwddwd | 2.00 |
| Away | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.17 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.71 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 0.96 | 1.45 |
Estrela vs Porto Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Estrela (20%)
5 Matches
Porto (80%)
