Estrela vs Sporting Prediction & Betting Tips | 11/04/2026

Estrela vs Sporting Prediction and Betting Tips | 11 April 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

9 April 2026 • 07:26 UTC • 1 min read

Estrela vs Sporting Prediction and Betting Tips 11 April 2026

Estrela come into this match after a 2-0 loss to Nacional and continue to struggle for consistency, averaging just 0.90 points per game across their last ten. Given Sporting's title ambitions, we predict a 3-0 away win. While Estrela's home form is more encouraging (1.75 points per game), they still concede 1.00 goal per match and have failed to score in 40% of recent games. Jovane and Moustier pushing for starts could add some attacking spark, but overall output remains limited.

Sporting CP, meanwhile, remain one of the strongest sides in the league despite a narrow 1-0 Champions League loss to Arsenal. Domestically, the reigning champions have been excellent, winning 70% of their last ten and averaging 2.30 goals per game while conceding just 0.90. The return of key midfielder Morten Hjulmand further strengthens an already balanced side with strong control in midfield.

Given Sporting's clear superiority in form, quality, and H2H dominance, our prediction leans toward Away Win, alongside Sporting -1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (all previous meetings have crossed this line, and the Lions score freely).

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 20:30.

What is our Estrela vs Sporting prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Estrela 0 - 3 Sporting

Estrela vs Sporting Betting Tips

Correct Score: 0-3 @ 700 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -111 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ -175 Odds
First Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ 260 Odds
Asian Handicap: Sporting -1.5 @ -149 Odds
European Handicap: Sporting +2 @ -150 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -800 Odds
Draw No Bet: Sporting to Win @ -1600 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Sporting to Win/Sporting to Win @ -138 Odds
Clean Sheet: Sporting - Yes @ -111 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Estrela vs Sporting?

You can place your bets on Estrela vs Sporting at the following bookmakers:

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Estrela Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ldwllddlwl	0.90
Home	wldw	1.75
Away	ldldll	0.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	50%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	2.75	2.33
Scored	1.00	1.75	0.50
Conceded	1.50	1.00	1.83
BTTS	40%	25%	50%
Clean Sheets	30%	50%	17%
Failed to Score	40%	25%	50%
Expected Goals	1.18	1.52	0.96
Expected Goals Against	1.60	1.49	1.68

Sporting Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwwdlwwwl	2.20
Home	wwwwwl	2.50
Away	wdlw	1.75

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	83%	50%
Average Goals Per Game	3.20	2.83	3.75
Scored	2.30	2.33	2.25
Conceded	0.90	0.50	1.50
BTTS	30%	17%	50%
Clean Sheets	50%	67%	25%
Failed to Score	20%	17%	25%
Expected Goals	1.96	2.22	1.57
Expected Goals Against	0.99	0.91	1.10