What is our Famalicao vs Casa Pia prediction?
Famalicao
2 - 1
Casa Pia
Our prediction for this match: Famalicao 2 - 1 Casa Pia
Famalicao vs Casa Pia Preview
With no new injury concerns and confidence boosted by a strong showing in a narrow 1–0 defeat to Sporting CP, Famalicao look well positioned for a response at home. As Casa Pia are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 2-1 home win. Famalicao's statistics at the Estadio Municipal are impressive: 75% home win rate, 3.00 goals scored on average, and 50% clean sheets. The side’s expected goals at home (1.86) highlight how consistently they create chances in front of their own fans.
Casa Pia, however, arrive weakened. First-team pillars Larrazabal and Cassiano are both suspended, stripping the visitors of width and goal threat. While Os Gansos showed spirit in their 3–2 victory over Arouca, their away output remains modest—just 0.75 goals scored per match, paired with 1.75 conceded. Their xGA away (1.61) suggests defensive issues that a strong home side like Famalicao can exploit.
Given aforementioned statistical data, Famalicao to Win is our main betting tip, alongside Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals as Casa Pia have been showing signs of improvement offensively.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday, 23 February 2026 at 20:15.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Mon 23 Feb 2026, 20:15UK time
Famalicao vs Casa Pia Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Famalicao 2-1 Casa Pia | 15/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/9 | |
| Draw No Bet: Famalicao | 2/11 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Famalicao / Famalicao | 11/8 | |
| Asian Handicap: Famalicao -0.5 | 11/20 | |
| European Handicap: Casa Pia +2 | 1/2 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Rudi Almeida | 6/4 | |
| First Goalscorer: Rudi Almeida | 9/2 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 11/10 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 21/20 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/12 | |
| Famalicao Clean Sheet: No | 4/5 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferFamalicao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllllwwlwl | 1.20 |
| Home | wlww | 2.25 |
| Away | lllwll | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 3.00 | 0.33 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.86 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 0.81 | 1.57 |
Casa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwdlldwdw | 1.30 |
| Home | dlddww | 1.50 |
| Away | wlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.17 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.07 | 1.03 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.61 |
Famalicao vs Casa Pia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Famalicao (43%)
7 Matches
Casa Pia (29%)
Famalicao vs Casa Pia Past Results
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