Famalicao return home full of confidence after their 2-1 victory over Vitoria Guimaraes, and with four straight home wins (100% home win rate across their last four), they look well-positioned to defeat Nacional 2-1 on Saturday afternoon. Despite the absence of forward Oscar Aranda, Famalicao have averaged 2.25 goals per game at home, supported by an impressive 75% clean-sheet rate in that run. Their xG numbers at home (1.71) also highlight consistent attacking output.
Nacional, meanwhile, travel with problems. Jesús Ramírez is suspended and the team have collected just 0.25 points per game away, failing to win any of their last four away matches. Their defensive struggles are evident, conceding 2.00 goals per away game and keeping 0 away clean sheets. With an xGA of 1.46 on the road, they often allow opponents clear chances, which is worrying against a side as strong at home as Famalicao.
Given Famalicao's perfect recent home run and Nacional’s poor away form, we predict Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals as five of the last seven H2H clashes saw 3+ goals.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Famalicao vs Nacional prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Famalicao 2 - 1 Nacional
Famalicao vs Nacional Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -118 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Rudi Almeida @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Rudi Almeida @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Famalicao -0.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Nacional +2 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Famalicao to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Famalicao to Win/Famalicao to Win @ 140 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Famalicao - No @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Famalicao vs Nacional?
You can place your bets on Famalicao vs Nacional at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferFamalicao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlwlwdww | 1.90 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lwlldw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.50 | 1.83 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 2.25 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.71 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 0.77 | 1.63 |
Nacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwldllldl | 0.60 |
| Home | dwdlll | 0.83 |
| Away | llld | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.50 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.52 | 1.46 |
Famalicao vs Nacional Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Famalicao (43%)
7 Matches
Nacional (43%)
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