Famalicao finally stopped their losing run with a narrow 1–0 win over Santa Clara, but beating Tondela who produce fine performances on the road is easier said than done. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. The hosts remain inconsistent, taking 1.00 point per game overall, and their home form is modest at 0.75 PPG. Defensively they concede 1.50 goals on average, while scoring 1.30, with their expected goals (1.39) and xGA (1.46) numbers showing a fairly even but unremarkable profile. Clean sheets have been rare (20%), which keeps most of their matches competitive. Pedro Bondo is doubtful after a minor knock, but he would not have started regardless.
Tondela travel to the Braga District following a frustrating 1–0 defeat to Braga, a match in which they missed a penalty. They show 0.80 PPG overall and just 0.67 at home, but are more stable away from home (1.00 PPG). Their scoring record is lower than Famalicao’s, averaging 0.80 goals, though they concede slightly less (1.30). Their expected metrics—1.21 xG and 1.31 xGA—mirror a side that stays in games but lacks consistent firepower.
The head-to-head is perfectly balanced with 3 wins each in 8 meetings, and both teams have vulnerabilities, hinting at a tight encounter. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Draw, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Famalicao or Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 25 January 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Famalicao vs Tondela prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Famalicao 1 - 1 Tondela
Famalicao vs Tondela Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Simon Elisor @ 140 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferFamalicao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllw | 1.00 |
| Home | llwl | 0.75 |
| Away | dlllw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.57 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.59 | 1.38 |
Tondela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwll | 0.80 |
| Home | dllwl | 0.67 |
| Away | dwll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.83 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.21 | 1.28 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.36 | 1.23 |
Famalicao vs Tondela Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Famalicao (38%)
8 Matches
Tondela (38%)
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