What is our Guimaraes vs Alverca prediction?
Guimaraes
2 - 0
Alverca
Our prediction for this match: Guimaraes 2 - 0 Alverca
Guimaraes vs Alverca Preview
Vitoria Guimaraes aim to bounce back from their narrow 3–2 defeat to Braga, and despite the loss, they remain strong favourites here, with 2-0 our predicted outcome. The hosts are almost at full strength, with defender Oscar Rivas Viondi the only absentee, which keeps their structure mostly intact. Their home numbers are excellent: 2.40 points per game, 80% home win rate, and only 0.80 goals conceded on average at their own ground. Offensively, they look sharp too, producing 1.40 goals per home match with an xG of 1.53.
Alverca, meanwhile, continue to battle inconsistency. The newcomers managed a 1–1 draw with Santa Clara, but their away form is a major concern: 0.20 points per game, a 0% away win percentage, and 2.60 goals conceded per match on the road. Losing important defender Naves to suspension further weakens a back line that already allows 2.06 xGA away from home. Offensively, they struggle as well, scoring just 0.60 goals per away game and failing to net in 40% of matches.
With Guimarães strong at home and Alverca depleted defensively, momentum clearly leans toward the hosts. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Guimaraes Over 1.5 and Over 1.5 goals total.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday, 28 February 2026 at 20:30.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Sat 28 Feb 2026, 20:30UK time
Guimaraes vs Alverca Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Guimaraes 2-0 Alverca | 7/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Guimaraes | 3/10 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Guimaraes / Guimaraes | 15/8 | |
| Asian Handicap: Guimaraes -0.5 | 4/5 | |
| European Handicap: Guimaraes +1 | 2/11 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Ejike Opara | 13/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Ejike Opara | 4/1 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 10/11 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/10 | |
| Guimaraes Clean Sheet: Yes | 5/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferGuimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwllwlwl | 1.60 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | dwlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.53 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.29 | 1.33 |
Alverca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwwldldd | 0.90 |
| Home | lwwdd | 1.60 |
| Away | lllld | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.03 | 1.25 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.30 | 2.06 |
Guimaraes vs Alverca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Guimaraes (0%)
1 Matches
Alverca (100%)
Guimaraes vs Alverca Past Results
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