All eyes will be on Estadio D. Afonso Henriques when Guimaraes and Arouca face each other in the season opener, with the hosts aiming to continue their strong home performances. Guimaraes are generally a real force to be reckoned with on their own turf and head into the new campaign unbeaten in preseason, recording five wins and two draws. They have added defensive talent with Yeimar Mosquera, while Lohann Doucet is also expected to make his official debut. The home side scored 2.00 goals per game in their last 10 home matches and kept clean sheets in 50% of those fixtures.
Arouca, meanwhile, ended their disappointing preseason run with a confidence-boosting 2-0 victory over Lusitania, putting an end to a four-game winless streak. The visitors have been dangerous going forward, scoring 1.50 goals per game across their last 10 matches, although defensive consistency remains a concern. Midfielder Mateo Flores has signed a permanent deal and will add further quality to their squad.
The H2H record favours Guimaraes, who have won eight of 19 meetings, while 63% of their encounters saw both teams score. As Guimaraes have turned their stadium into a real fortress, we predict Home Win, alongside Guimaraes to Win to Nil and Under 3.5 goals (Arouca games have averaged 2.70 goals recently, suggesting an open contest).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Guimaraes vs Arouca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Guimaraes 1 - 0 Arouca
Guimaraes vs Arouca Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 650 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -118 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Ouotro @ 160 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Patrick Ouotro @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Guimaraes 0 @ -250 Odds
- European Handicap: FC Arouca +2 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Guimaraes to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Guimaraes to Win/Guimaraes to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Guimaraes - Yes @ 162 Odds
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View OfferGuimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwdwwlll | 1.00 |
| Home | lwwl | 1.50 |
| Away | lldwll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.75 | 2.17 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.38 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 0.96 | 1.33 |
Arouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwlwldww | 1.60 |
| Home | lwwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | lwllw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.52 | 1.19 |
Guimaraes vs Arouca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Guimaraes (42%)
19 Matches
Arouca (21%)
