What is our Guimaraes vs Casa Pia prediction?
Guimaraes
1 - 0
Casa Pia
Our prediction for this match: Guimaraes 1 - 0 Casa Pia
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Preview
Guimaraes will be looking to bounce back from a heavy 5–1 defeat to Sporting CP when they face Casa Pia on Sunday evening. As the visitors have been struggling to find their form of late, we predict a 1-0 home win. Guimaraes' recent form has been inconsistent (1.10 points per game), but they are much stronger at home, averaging 1.75 points per game and scoring 2.25 goals per match. Defensively, they are generally solid at home (0.75 conceded), though suspensions to Thiago Balieiro and Diogo Sousa could disrupt their structure.
Casa Pia, on the other hand, are in very poor shape, sitting in the relegation zone and on a three-game losing run. The visitors have failed to win any of their last 10 matches (0.40 points per game), scoring just 0.40 goals per match while failing to score in 60% of those games. Away from home, their problems are even more pronounced, conceding 2.20 goals per game. Their situation is worsened by multiple suspensions, with Geraldes, Brito, and Cassiano all unavailable.
Given Guimarae's fine home form and Casa Pia’s poor run, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Guimaraes to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals (very low-scoring H2H trend).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday, 11 May 2026 at 20:15.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Mon 11 May 2026, 20:15UK time
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Guimaraes 1-0 Casa Pia | 11/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Guimaraes | 3/10 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Guimaraes / Guimaraes | 7/4 | |
| Asian Handicap: Casa Pia +1.5 | 7/20 | |
| European Handicap: Casa Pia +2 | 1/3 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Miguel Nogueira | 15/8 | |
| First Goalscorer: Miguel Nogueira | 11/2 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 12/5 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 3/4 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/12 | |
| Guimaraes Clean Sheet: Yes | 5/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?
You can place your bets on Guimaraes vs Casa Pia at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferGuimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlllwdwwl | 1.10 |
| Home | dlww | 1.75 |
| Away | llldwl | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.25 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 0.75 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.45 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 0.99 | 1.40 |
Casa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddldldlll | 0.40 |
| Home | dddll | 0.60 |
| Away | ldlll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 0.95 | 0.89 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.22 | 1.66 |
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Guimaraes (25%)
8 Matches
Casa Pia (25%)
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Kosovo
Israel
Georgia
Hungary
Norway
Wales
Romania
Poland
France
Turkey
Belgium
Italy
