Guimaraes will be looking to bounce back from a heavy 5–1 defeat to Sporting CP when they face Casa Pia on Sunday evening. As the visitors have been struggling to find their form of late, we predict a 1-0 home win. Guimaraes' recent form has been inconsistent (1.10 points per game), but they are much stronger at home, averaging 1.75 points per game and scoring 2.25 goals per match. Defensively, they are generally solid at home (0.75 conceded), though suspensions to Thiago Balieiro and Diogo Sousa could disrupt their structure.
Casa Pia, on the other hand, are in very poor shape, sitting in the relegation zone and on a three-game losing run. The visitors have failed to win any of their last 10 matches (0.40 points per game), scoring just 0.40 goals per match while failing to score in 60% of those games. Away from home, their problems are even more pronounced, conceding 2.20 goals per game. Their situation is worsened by multiple suspensions, with Geraldes, Brito, and Cassiano all unavailable.
Given Guimarae's fine home form and Casa Pia’s poor run, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Guimaraes to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals (very low-scoring H2H trend).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:15.
What is our Guimaraes vs Casa Pia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Guimaraes 1 - 0 Casa Pia
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ejike Opara @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ejike Opara @ 375 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Casa Pia +1.5 @ -250 Odds
- European Handicap: Casa Pia +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Guimaraes to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Guimaraes to Win/Guimaraes to Win @ 162 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Guimaraes - Yes @ 137 Odds
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View OfferGuimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlllwdwwl | 1.10 |
| Home | dlww | 1.75 |
| Away | llldwl | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.25 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 0.75 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.45 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 0.99 | 1.40 |
Casa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddldldlll | 0.40 |
| Home | dddll | 0.60 |
| Away | ldlll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 0.95 | 0.89 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.22 | 1.66 |
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Guimaraes (25%)
8 Matches
Casa Pia (25%)
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