What is our Guimaraes vs Maritimo prediction?
Guimaraes
2 - 0
Maritimo
Our prediction for this match: Guimaraes 2 - 0 Maritimo
Guimaraes vs Maritimo Preview
Guimaraes take on Maritimo aiming to make amends for a 2-0 defeat to Benfica, a game in which they managed just 0.43 xG. The hosts have struggled for consistency lately, but the return of Alioune Ndoye from suspension and Gustavo’s recovery from injury provide timely attacking boosts. Guimaraes have been defensively solid at home, conceding just 0.50 goals per game, although their scoring record of 0.50 goals per home match highlights the need for improvement in the final third.
Maritimo, meanwhile, are on a five-game winless run in the Primeira Liga and have looked vulnerable defensively. Mitchell van der Gaag has no fresh injury concerns, but his side face a difficult challenge against opponents who have dominated this fixture on home soil. Maritimo have lost their last six away meetings with Guimaraes and have conceded 1.60 goals per game on their travels.
Despite Guimaraes’ recent attacking struggles, the returning forwards could make a difference against a side lacking confidence. With Guimaraes conceding only 0.50 goals per home game, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Guimaraes to Win to Nil and Under 3.5 goals.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 20:45.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Fri 23 Oct 2026, 20:45UK time
Guimaraes vs Maritimo Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Guimaraes 2-0 Maritimo | 6/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/9 | |
| Draw No Bet: Guimaraes | 1/6 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Guimaraes / Guimaraes | 13/10 | |
| Asian Handicap: Guimaraes -0.5 | 1/2 | |
| European Handicap: Maritimo +3 | 2/11 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Arnel Jakupovic | 6/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Arnel Jakupovic | 4/1 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 19/20 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/8 | |
| Guimaraes Clean Sheet: Yes | 11/10 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferGuimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwldldlw | 0.80 |
| Home | lwdd | 1.25 |
| Away | lllllw | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.84 | 2.30 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.97 | 0.72 | 1.14 |
Maritimo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdllldlw | 1.10 |
| Home | lwdll | 0.80 |
| Away | wlldw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.53 |
Guimaraes vs Maritimo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Guimaraes (52%)
27 Matches
Maritimo (30%)
Guimaraes vs Maritimo Past Results
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