Guimaraes will be eager to put an end to their three-game winless run when they welcome Moreirense, hoping to recover from a 2-1 defeat to Academico Viseu. The hosts created plenty of chances in that match, recording 2.23 xG and 22 goal attempts, so there were some positives despite the result. Guimaraes have been particularly solid defensively at home, conceding just 0.40 goals per game across their last five home matches. Forward Alioune Ndoye, however, is suspended.
Moreirense, on the other hand, aim to build on a 3-1 victory over Maritimo. The visitors have struggled for consistency lately, winning only 30% of their last 10 matches and conceding 2.10 goals per game. Their away record is even less convincing, with just a 20% win rate and 2.40 goals conceded per game. Forward Alexandre Duville-Parsemain is pushing for a start after scoring as a substitute at the weekend, while no fresh injury worries.
As Guimaraes have won 16 of the previous 25 H2H meetings, our main prediction leans toward Home Win, alongside Guimaraes to Win to Nil and Under 3.5 goals (just 24% of the previous 25 H2H meetings produced four or more goals).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Guimaraes vs Moreirense prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense
Guimaraes vs Moreirense Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Arnel Jakupovic @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Arnel Jakupovic @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Moreirense +1.5 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Moreirense +2 @ -163 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Guimaraes to Win @ -800 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Guimaraes to Win/Guimaraes to Win @ 110 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Guimaraes - Yes @ -120 Odds
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View OfferGuimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllllwldl | 0.70 |
| Home | wllwd | 1.40 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 2.03 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.99 | 0.83 | 1.13 |
Moreirense Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlddlwllw | 1.10 |
| Home | wddlw | 1.60 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.00 | 1.15 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.58 | 1.36 | 1.80 |
Guimaraes vs Moreirense Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Guimaraes (64%)
25 Matches
Moreirense (20%)
Guimaraes vs Moreirense Past Results
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