What is our Guimaraes vs Nacional prediction?
Guimaraes
1 - 0
Nacional
Our prediction for this match: Guimaraes 1 - 0 Nacional
Guimaraes vs Nacional Preview
Guimaraes play host to Nacional in what should be a close Primeira Liga encounter. The hosts suffered back-to-back defeats to Arouca and Sporting in their opening two games, but they showed plenty of character in the 3-2 loss to Sporting. Guimaraes have been inconsistent recently, winning just three of their last 10 matches, although their home record is more encouraging, with a 50% win rate and only 0.50 goals conceded per game. Boss Tiago Margarido has a full squad to choose from.
Nacional, meanwhile, head into the match in good spirits after beating Estoril 2-0 in round 2. Their defensive numbers are particularly impressive, with six clean sheets in that period and only 0.80 goals conceded per game. However, they have struggled away from home, winning just 25% of their last 10 away matches. Defender Ulisses is likely to miss out through injury. The H2H record is closely contested, although 15 of the previous 22 meetings saw both teams score.
Given Guimaraes' strong home defensive record and promising performance against Sporting, Home Win should definitely be considered, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals (Nacional have conceded only 0.80 per game recently).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday, 23 August 2026 at 15:30.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Sun 23 Aug 2026, 15:30UK time
Guimaraes vs Nacional Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Guimaraes 1-0 Nacional | 6/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Guimaraes | 1/4 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Guimaraes / Guimaraes | 13/8 | |
| Asian Handicap: Guimaraes -0.5 | 27/40 | |
| European Handicap: Nacional +2 | 2/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Ouotro | 7/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Patrick Ouotro | 9/2 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 19/20 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 11/4 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 9/10 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/9 | |
| Guimaraes Clean Sheet: Yes | 11/8 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferGuimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdwwlllll | 1.00 |
| Home | wwll | 1.50 |
| Away | ldwlll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.25 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.75 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.50 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.60 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 0.74 | 1.31 |
Nacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwllwddw | 1.70 |
| Home | wwlwdw | 2.17 |
| Away | lwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.33 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.58 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.25 | 2.01 |
Guimaraes vs Nacional Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Guimaraes (41%)
22 Matches
Nacional (36%)
Guimaraes vs Nacional Past Results
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