Guimaraes play host to Nacional in what should be a close Primeira Liga encounter. The hosts suffered back-to-back defeats to Arouca and Sporting in their opening two games, but they showed plenty of character in the 3-2 loss to Sporting. Guimaraes have been inconsistent recently, winning just three of their last 10 matches, although their home record is more encouraging, with a 50% win rate and only 0.50 goals conceded per game. Boss Tiago Margarido has a full squad to choose from.
Nacional, meanwhile, head into the match in good spirits after beating Estoril 2-0 in round 2. Their defensive numbers are particularly impressive, with six clean sheets in that period and only 0.80 goals conceded per game. However, they have struggled away from home, winning just 25% of their last 10 away matches. Defender Ulisses is likely to miss out through injury. The H2H record is closely contested, although 15 of the previous 22 meetings saw both teams score.
Given Guimaraes' strong home defensive record and promising performance against Sporting, Home Win should definitely be considered, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals (Nacional have conceded only 0.80 per game recently).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Guimaraes vs Nacional prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Guimaraes 1 - 0 Nacional
Guimaraes vs Nacional Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -112 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Ouotro @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Patrick Ouotro @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Guimaraes -0.5 @ -149 Odds
- European Handicap: Nacional +2 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Guimaraes to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Guimaraes to Win/Guimaraes to Win @ 162 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Guimaraes - Yes @ 137 Odds
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View OfferGuimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdwwlllll | 1.00 |
| Home | wwll | 1.50 |
| Away | ldwlll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.25 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.75 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.50 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.60 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 0.74 | 1.31 |
Nacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwllwddw | 1.70 |
| Home | wwlwdw | 2.17 |
| Away | lwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.33 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.58 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.25 | 2.01 |
Guimaraes vs Nacional Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Guimaraes (41%)
22 Matches
Nacional (36%)
Guimaraes vs Nacional Past Results
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