Moreirense vs AFS Prediction & Betting Tips | 16/05/2026

Moreirense vs AFS Prediction and Betting Tips | 16 May 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

14 May 2026 • 08:09 UTC • 1 min read

Moreirense vs AFS Prediction and Betting Tips 16 May 2026

Moreirense welcome already-relegated AFS in the final round of the Primeira Liga season, with the hosts still hoping to secure a top-seven finish. As AFS are not regarded as good travellers, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-0 home win. Despite inconsistent recent form, Moreirense have been more competitive at home, collecting 1.40 points per game from their last five matches on home soil. Their defensive stability could be tested, though, as suspended defender Maracas misses the season finale.

AFS may already be relegated, but they head into the clash full of confidence after a stunning 3-1 victory over champions Porto last weekend. That result extended their unbeaten run to five matches and showed they are still fighting despite their league position. However, forward Antoine Baroan remains sidelined, which limits their attacking depth. Aves have also struggled offensively throughout the campaign, averaging only 0.90 goals scored per game across their last 10 outings.

Given Moreirense's tronger overall quality and solid H2H advantage, Home Win should be considered alongside Under 2.5 goals and Moreirense to Win to Nil (Only one of the previous three meetings produced over 2.5 goals).

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 15:30.

What is our Moreirense vs AFS prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Moreirense 2 - 0 AFS

Moreirense vs AFS Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-0 @ 750 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -106 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -106 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Cedric Teguia @ 137 Odds
First Goalscorer: Cedric Teguia @ 450 Odds
Asian Handicap: Moreirense -0.5 @ -125 Odds
European Handicap: Moreirense +1 @ -400 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -400 Odds
Draw No Bet: Moreirense to Win @ -275 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Moreirense to Win/Moreirense to Win @ 187 Odds
Clean Sheet: Moreirense - Yes @ 162 Odds

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Moreirense Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ddllldwlwl	0.90
Home	dllww	1.40
Away	dldll	0.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	40%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	2.00	2.80
Scored	0.80	1.00	0.60
Conceded	1.60	1.00	2.20
BTTS	50%	40%	60%
Clean Sheets	10%	20%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	40%	40%
Expected Goals	0.99	1.10	0.87
Expected Goals Against	1.48	1.28	1.67

AFS Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ddldldddww	1.20
Home	dlddw	1.20
Away	ddldw	1.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	1.90	1.80	2.00
Scored	0.90	1.00	0.80
Conceded	1.00	0.80	1.20
BTTS	50%	60%	40%
Clean Sheets	30%	20%	40%
Failed to Score	50%	40%	60%
Expected Goals	1.28	1.25	1.31
Expected Goals Against	1.91	1.89	1.94