Moreirense and Tondela face each other at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas in what promises to be a close encounter with 1-1 our predicted outcome. Moreirense will be without suspended defender Dinis Pinto, but otherwise arrive stable after a confidence-boosting 2–0 win over AFS. Their main issue is consistency at home: 0.33 points per game, 0% home wins, and 2.67 goals conceded per home match paint a worrying picture. They do score (1.0 per home game), but defensive leaks remain a major problem.
Tondela welcome midfielder Sphephelo Sithole back from international duty, a boost for their midfield structure. Still, their form is patchy: 3 losses in the last 4, inconsistent away output, and a modest 1.0 points per game away. They score only 1.0 away per match and concede 2.0, showing clear fragility. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team.
H2H history is tight (Moreirense 5W – Tondela 6W – 5D), but notably 69% BTTS and 94% Over 1.5 goals trends show usually lively encounters. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Over 1.5 goals, alongside BTTS and Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 11 January 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Moreirense vs Tondela prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Moreirense 1 - 1 Tondela
Moreirense vs Tondela Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Guilherme Schettine @ 137 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMoreirense Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddldw | 0.90 |
| Home | ldl | 0.33 |
| Away | wlddw | 1.14 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.67 | 2.71 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.67 | 1.29 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 43% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.02 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.71 | 1.27 |
Tondela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllw | 0.80 |
| Home | ldllw | 0.67 |
| Away | ldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.17 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.22 | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.69 | 1.43 |
Moreirense vs Tondela Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Moreirense (31%)
16 Matches
Tondela (38%)
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