Nacional will be eager to halt their three-game losing streak when they welcome winless Alverca in Primeira Liga round six. The hosts are looking to recover from a 2-0 defeat to Sporting CP and have shown reasonable home form, winning 40% of their last 10 matches on home soil. Nacional average 1.40 goals per home game and have kept clean sheets in 60% of those matches, while their overall BTTS rate stands at just 30%. Leo Santos picked up a knock against Sporting, with Deivison expected to step in.
Alverca are still searching for their first victory after losing 2-1 to Braga and sit in the relegation zone after conceding 10 goals in their opening five league games. Their away record makes grim reading, with five consecutive defeats and just 0.20 goals scored per game across their last 10 away matches. Alverca have also failed to score in 80% of those road games. Abdulai, Martinez and Meupiyou have been struggling with injuries.
Nacional have a stronger home record and Alverca are winless away. Therefore, our main prediction leans toward Home Win, alongside Nacional to Win to Nil and Under 3.5 goals (Neither side has strong attacking numbers, while both H2H meetings produced fewer than three goals).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Nacional vs Alverca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Nacional 1 - 0 Alverca
Nacional vs Alverca Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Francisco Chiquinho @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Francisco Chiquinho @ 375 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Nacional +0.5 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Nacional +1 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -188 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Nacional to Win @ 100 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Nacional to Win/Nacional to Win @ 375 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Nacional - Yes @ 250 Odds
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View OfferNacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwddwlll | 1.10 |
| Home | lwdwl | 1.40 |
| Away | wldll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.58 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.43 | 1.95 |
Alverca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldlldldl | 0.60 |
| Home | wdddl | 1.20 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 100% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.01 | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1.36 |
Nacional vs Alverca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Nacional (50%)
2 Matches
Alverca (50%)
Nacional vs Alverca Past Results
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