Nacional will look to claim a major scalp when they face Benfica on Matchday 12, but with the Eagles brimming with confidence following the Champions League win over Ajax, our prediction leans toward a 2-0 away triumph. Os Alvinegros are on a three-game winless run in Primeira Liga, and with the team winning only 15% of their 20 meetings with Benfica, home win should not be considered. There are no fresh injury worries in the home team.
Jose Mourinho’s men, on the other hand, proved their worth in the Champions League triumph over Ajax, with the team regaining a much-needed confidence. Benfica have been impressive defensively on the road, conceding only 0.5 goals per game in the last 10 away fixtures and that is surely giving fans a reason for optimism ahead of the trip to Madeira. Midfielder Richard Rios misses out through suspension, but Jose Mourinho has enough quality players to fill the gap.
With Benfica winning 85% of their last 20 encounters with Nacional, both Away Win and Benfica HT/FT betting options seem appealing, alongside Over 2.5 goals (80%).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 29 November 2025 at 18:00.
What is our Nacional vs Benfica prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Nacional 1 - 2 Benfica
Nacional vs Benfica Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ 105 Odds
- To be booked: Leandro Barreiro @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferNacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdldl | 1.40 |
| Home | lwl | 1.00 |
| Away | wwddl | 1.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.57 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.67 | 1.14 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.57 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.31 |
Benfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldww | 2.00 |
| Home | wwld | 1.75 |
| Away | wlwww | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.72 | 2.01 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 0.77 | 1.19 |
Nacional vs Benfica Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Nacional (5%)
20 Matches
Benfica (85%)
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