What is our Nacional vs Famalicao prediction?
Nacional
1 - 1
Famalicao
Our prediction for this match: Nacional 1 - 1 Famalicao
Nacional vs Famalicao Preview
Nacional will be looking to put an end to their four-game losing run when they welcome Maritimo, with defensive problems once again exposed in a 3-1 defeat to Alverca. The hosts have conceded 1.50 goals per game across their last 10 matches and have managed just a 20% win rate during that spell. Nacional have also struggled to find consistency at home, winning only 33% of their last six. Forward Matchoi Djalo is pushing for a start after scoring as a substitute at the weekend, while Leo Santos and Ulisses remain in the treatment room.
Maritimo, meanwhile, are also enduring a three-game losing run after suffering a 3-1 defeat to Moreirense at the weekend. The visitors have conceded eight goals across those three losses, highlighting their recent defensive struggles. Ayuma and Dominguez are pushing for a start, while there are no fresh injury worries in the Maritimo camp.
Nacional matches have averaged 2.50 goals across their last 10, while both sides have conceded three goals in their latest defeats. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals seems like a sure bet. Additionally, Half-Time Draw and BTTS markets are worth considering (Nacional have conceded in four consecutive games, while Maritimo have scored in most of their recent fixtures despite their losing run).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:30.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Sat 19 Sep 2026, 15:30UK time
Nacional vs Famalicao Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Nacional 1-1 Famalicao | 11/2 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 4/5 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 15/4 | |
| Asian Handicap: Nacional +0.5 | 33/40 | |
| European Handicap: Nacional +1 | 4/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Patricio Salas | 8/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Patricio Salas | 9/2 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 19/20 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/9 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/14 | |
| Famalicao Clean Sheet: No | 8/15 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferNacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwddwllll | 0.80 |
| Home | lwdwll | 1.17 |
| Away | ldll | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.67 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.53 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.85 |
Famalicao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwdllddd | 1.20 |
| Home | dwldd | 1.20 |
| Away | wddld | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.22 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.07 | 1.06 | 1.08 |
Nacional vs Famalicao Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Nacional (38%)
8 Matches
Famalicao (50%)
Nacional vs Famalicao Past Results
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