Nacional head into the final round of the Primeira Liga season knowing that a single point should be enough to guarantee survival. As both sides should be happy with one point from Saturday's clash, we predict a 2-2 draw. The hosts will be desperate to bounce back after consecutive defeats to AFS and Santa Clara, but their home form offers some encouragement, with two wins from their last five matches in Madeira. Nacional have also been relatively solid defensively at home, conceding only 1.00 goal per game in that spell.
Guimaraes travel to Madeira after a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Casa Pia and have little left to play for after missing out on European qualification. Rotation could be expected, with Camara, Arcanjo, and Zeega all pushing for starting spots.The visitors have struggled badly away from home recently, averaging only 0.60 goals scored and conceding 2.20 per game on the road over their last five away fixtures.
Given strong BTTS trend in H2H meetings (71% H2H), we are tempted to place our bets on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 (71%) and Over 3.5 goals (43%).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Nacional vs Guimaraes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Nacional 2 - 2 Guimaraes
Nacional vs Guimaraes Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 105 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jesus Ramirez @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jesus Ramirez @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Guimaraes +0.5 @ -118 Odds
- European Handicap: Guimaraes +1 @ -125 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -125 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 500 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Nacional - No @ -275 Odds
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View OfferNacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldllwlwwll | 1.00 |
| Home | llwwl | 1.20 |
| Away | dllwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.68 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.42 | 1.67 |
Guimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlllwdwwll | 1.10 |
| Home | dlwwl | 1.40 |
| Away | lldwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.46 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.04 | 1.45 |
Nacional vs Guimaraes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Nacional (33%)
21 Matches
Guimaraes (43%)
Nacional vs Guimaraes Past Results
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