Nacional host Tondela in what promises to be a tightly contested clash, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. Os Alvinegros have struggled recently, averaging just 1.1 points per game with only a 30% win rate this season. Their attack produces 1.3 goals per match, but defensive problems see them concede 1.5 on average. Potential absences of key players Joao Aurelio and Pablo Ruan could weaken Nacional further.
Os Auriverdes have been in a similar form, earning 1.1 points per game with mixed results away from home. Despite scoring 1.67 goals per away match, their home form is poor, failing to score in most games and keeping only 25% of clean sheets at home. Head-to-head stats suggest a balanced rivalry: over 1.5 goals occurred in 69% of past meetings, but over 2.5 in just 38%. Both teams have a moderate tendency to score, with BTTS in 54% of previous encounters. Milama Moudjatovic's injury should not be a big issue for the visiting side.
Taking everything into account, aforementioned statistical data leans toward Under 2.5 goals, with additional value on Draw and BTTS.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 13 December 2025 at 15:30.
What is our Nacional vs Tondela prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Nacional 1 - 1 Tondela
Nacional vs Tondela Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Jeffrey Rodriguez @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferNacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlll | 1.10 |
| Home | lwll | 0.75 |
| Away | wddll | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.36 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.83 | 1.29 |
Tondela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldwl | 1.10 |
| Home | lldl | 0.25 |
| Away | lwldw | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 1.50 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.47 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.67 | 1.84 | 1.55 |
Nacional vs Tondela Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Nacional (46%)
13 Matches
Tondela (38%)
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