Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

1 March 2026

18:00

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Moreirense

Moreirense

Casa Pia aim to respond after a 2-0 defeat to Famalicao, but they face a setback as forward Korede Osundina limped off injured. Therefore, we predict that Os Gansos will play out a 1-1 draw with Moreirense on Matchday 24. The hosts remain solid at home, averaging 1.60 points per match, scoring 1.80 goals per game, and producing 1.16 xG at their own ground. Casa Pia also tend... Read More...

This match will be played on 1 March 2026 at 18:00

Tondela

Tondela

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

1 March 2026

15:30

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Tondela will look to build on a 2–0 win over Estrela when they face Santa Clara on Saturday, though the hosts face notable absences. Despite this setback, we predict a 1-0 home win as Santa Clara do not seem to be at their sharpest. Sithole and Cicero are both suspended for the hosts, while forward Makan Aiko is likely to miss out through injury, reducing attacking depth. ... Read More...

This match will be played on 1 March 2026 at 15:30

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

28 February 2026

20:30

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Alverca

Alverca

Vitoria Guimaraes aim to bounce back from their narrow 3–2 defeat to Braga, and despite the loss, they remain strong favourites here, with 2-0 our predicted outcome. The hosts are almost at full strength, with defender Oscar Rivas Viondi the only absentee, which keeps their structure mostly intact. Their home numbers are excellent: 2.40 points per game, 80% home win rate, ... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 February 2026 at 20:30

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

28 February 2026

18:00

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Braga

Braga

Nacional head into Saturday's clash under pressure, sitting near the bottom with just 0.90 points per game overall and only 20% wins. Therefore our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. Nacional's home form is better (1.60 PPG), but the hosts suffer a major blow as key defender Ze Vítor is suspended, weakening a back line that already concedes 1.40 goals per match. Nacion... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 February 2026 at 18:00

AFS

AFS

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

28 February 2026

15:30

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Estrela

Estrela

AFS remain stuck at the bottom of the table with just 8 points, and their struggles continue ahead of this crucial home clash with Estrela. Therefore, our prediction firmly points toward a 1-0 away win. The hosts enter the match in poor form, taking only 0.50 points per game overall, and their defensive problems are reflected in the 2.30 goals conceded per match. The absence... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 February 2026 at 15:30

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
3-1

Match Time & Date:

27 February 2026

20:45

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Estoril

Estoril

Sporting CP look to keep pressure on league leaders Porto as they host an improving Estoril side in Lisbon. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, our prediction leans toward a 3-1 home win. The Lions enter this clash in excellent form, taking 2.50 points per game overall and winning all their home matches this season. Amorim, however, cannot count on Debast an... Read More...

This match will be played on 27 February 2026 at 20:45

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

27 February 2026

18:45

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Arouca

Arouca

Porto continue their push at the top of the table as they take on Arouca on Matchday 24. As Estoril are hit by suspensions, our prediction firmly points toward a routine 3-0 home win. The Dragons will be without banned midfielder Alan Varela, while Fernandes, Kiwior, Samu, and Perez remain sidelined through injury. Even so, Farioli’s squad depth has kept performances stabl... Read More...

This match will be played on 27 February 2026 at 18:45

Famalicao

Famalicao

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

23 February 2026

20:15

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Casa Pia

Casa Pia

With no new injury concerns and confidence boosted by a strong showing in a narrow 1–0 defeat to Sporting CP, Famalicao look well positioned for a response at home. As Casa Pia are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 2-1 home win. Famalicao's statistics at the Estadio Municipal are impressive: 75% home win rate, 3.00 goals scored on average, and 50% clean sheets.... Read More...

This match will be played on 23 February 2026 at 20:15

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

22 February 2026

20:30

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Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Porto enter Sunday's match against Rio Ave as heavy favourites, even with top scorer Samu ruled out for the rest of the season. Despite this setback, we predict a 2-0 home win as the Dragons have turned "Dragao" into a real fortress. Their home numbers remain dominant: 80% win rate, 2.40 goals scored, and just 0.40 conceded per match on home soil. The league leaders have als... Read More...

This match will be played on 22 February 2026 at 20:30

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
6 March 2026 • 20:03 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
EstrelaEstrelaGil VicenteGil Vicente08/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 0-1
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
BenficaBenficaPortoPorto08/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Santa ClaraSanta ClaraGuimaraesGuimaraes08/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 0-1
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
TondelaTondelaRio AveRio Ave09/03/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
GuimaraesGuimaraesFamalicaoFamalicao14/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Gil VicenteGil VicenteAlvercaAlverca14/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaBenficaBenfica14/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 0-2
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
AFSAFSSanta ClaraSanta Clara15/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 0-1
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
NacionalNacionalEstorilEstoril15/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
Rio AveRio AveEstrelaEstrela15/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
PortoPortoMoreirenseMoreirense15/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.5
Away Teams 1.22
Total (Combined) 2.72
33.1 min/Goal (601 Goals in 221 matches)
60% Clean Sheets (133 times out of 221 matches)
47% Both Teams Scored (103 times out of 221 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 11%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 7%
Under 1.5 24%
Under 2.5 45%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 89%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.18
Shots / Match (Home) 12.63
Shots / Match (Away) 11.55
Fouls Per Match 27.79
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.87
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.91
Offsides Per Match 3.22
Players Participated 614

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 24 21 2 1 47 8 +39 65 LDWWW
2 Sporting CP 25 19 5 1 64 14 +50 62 DWWWD
3 Benfica 24 17 7 0 51 14 +37 58 DWWWW
4 Sporting Braga 25 13 7 5 52 25 +27 46 WLWWD
5 Gil Vicente 24 11 7 6 35 23 +12 40 WWWLL
6 Famalicão 25 11 6 8 30 21 +9 39 WLWDW
7 Moreirense FC 25 10 5 10 31 35 -4 35 LWLDD
8 GD Estoril Praia 25 9 7 9 46 42 +4 34 DLWLD
9 Vitória Guimarães 24 9 5 10 28 35 -7 32 WLWLD
10 Alverca 25 7 7 11 24 39 -15 28 LDDDD
11 FC Arouca 25 7 5 13 32 53 -21 26 WLWLL
12 Estrela Amadora 24 5 9 10 26 41 -15 24 DWLLD
13 Casa Pia 25 5 9 11 26 44 -18 24 DWLDD
14 CD Nacional 25 5 7 13 29 37 -8 22 DLLLD
15 Rio Ave FC 24 4 9 11 23 44 -21 21 LLLLD
16 Santa Clara 24 4 7 13 20 31 -11 19 LLLDD
17 CD Tondela 24 4 7 13 19 38 -19 19 DDDWD
18 AVS 25 1 7 17 18 57 -39 10 LWLDD

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
27/02/2026, 18:45 Porto 3 - 1 FC Arouca
27/02/2026, 20:45 Sporting CP 3 - 0 GD Estoril Praia
28/02/2026, 15:30 AVS 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora
28/02/2026, 18:00 CD Nacional 1 - 2 Sporting Braga
28/02/2026, 20:30 Vitória Guimarães 1 - 1 Alverca
01/03/2026, 15:30 CD Tondela 2 - 2 Santa Clara
01/03/2026, 18:00 Casa Pia 1 - 1 Moreirense FC
01/03/2026, 20:30 Rio Ave FC 0 - 0 Famalicão
02/03/2026, 20:15 Gil Vicente 1 - 2 Benfica

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
06/03/2026, 20:15 Famalicão 1 - 0 FC Arouca
07/03/2026, 15:30 Alverca 0 - 0 AVS
07/03/2026, 15:30 Moreirense FC 1 - 1 CD Nacional
07/03/2026, 18:00 Sporting Braga 2 - 2 Sporting CP
07/03/2026, 20:30 GD Estoril Praia 0 - 0 Casa Pia
08/03/2026, 15:30 Estrela Amadora - Gil Vicente
08/03/2026, 18:00 Benfica - Porto
08/03/2026, 20:30 Santa Clara - Vitória Guimarães
09/03/2026, 20:15 CD Tondela - Rio Ave FC

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