Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Famalicao

Famalicao

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

23 February 2026

20:15

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Casa Pia

Casa Pia

With no new injury concerns and confidence boosted by a strong showing in a narrow 1–0 defeat to Sporting CP, Famalicao look well positioned for a response at home. As Casa Pia are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 2-1 home win. Famalicao's statistics at the Estadio Municipal are impressive: 75% home win rate, 3.00 goals scored on average, and 50% clean sheets.... Read More...

This match will be played on 23 February 2026 at 20:15

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

22 February 2026

20:30

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Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Porto enter Sunday's match against Rio Ave as heavy favourites, even with top scorer Samu ruled out for the rest of the season. Despite this setback, we predict a 2-0 home win as the Dragons have turned "Dragao" into a real fortress. Their home numbers remain dominant: 80% win rate, 2.40 goals scored, and just 0.40 conceded per match on home soil. The league leaders have als... Read More...

This match will be played on 22 February 2026 at 20:30

Estoril

Estoril

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

22 February 2026

18:00

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Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota will host this well-balanced clash between Estoril and Gil Vicente, with 2-2 our predicted outcome. Estoril were stunned by a 3–0 defeat to bottom-placed AFS last weekend, yet their home numbers remain strong: 2.20 points per game, 2.80 goals scored per home match, and BTTS landing in 80% of their fixtures at the António Coimbra da Mota. Wi... Read More...

This match will be played on 22 February 2026 at 18:00

Braga

Braga

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

21 February 2026

20:30

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Guimaraes

Guimaraes

A correct-score prediction of 2–1 to Braga opens this derby-style clash between Braga and Vitoria Guimaraes, with the hosts aiming to bounce back from their 2–1 defeat to Gil Vicente. Despite missing Gorby, Niakaté, and El Ouazzani, Braga remain a force at home—three wins from three, 3.00 goals scored per match, and zero goals conceded in those games underline their E... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 February 2026 at 20:30

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

21 February 2026

18:00

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Sporting

Sporting

Moreirense and Sporting CP face each other in what promises to be an exciting contest, with 1-2 our predict ed out come. Moreirense, currently sitting with a form of LWLLW (1.40 points per game), recently defeated Rio Ave 2-1 and boasts a solid home record of LWWL, averaging 1.50 points per game at home. The hosts score an average of 2.40 goals per game, with a 40% BTTS rate... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 February 2026 at 18:00

Benfica

Benfica

Prediction:
4-0

Match Time & Date:

21 February 2026

18:00

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AFS

AFS

Benfica, aiming to keep their title hopes alive, host AFS with confidence despite missing winger Prestianni through suspension. As David faces Goliath in Lisbon, we predict a routine 4-0 home win. Benfica’s recent form is solid, with results like WDWWL, and they boast an impressive average of 2.60 goals per game overall, scoring 1.50 on average. Their home form is particul... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 February 2026 at 18:00

Arouca

Arouca

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

21 February 2026

15:30

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Nacional

Nacional

Arouca host Nacional in what promises to be an entertaining fixture, with our prediction leaning toward a 2-2 draw. Arouca, currently with an overall form of WLWWL, averages 1.40 points per game and has a solid home record, winning half of their home matches. They score around 1.50 goals per game and concede the same, with a BTTS rate of 75%. No fresh injuries impact Arouca,... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 February 2026 at 15:30

Alverca

Alverca

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

21 February 2026

15:30

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Alverca and Santa Clara face each other in the Primera Liga round 23 in what promises to be a close game with 1-1 our predicted out come. Alverca, with an overall form of WLDLD, averages 1.10 points per game and has a decent home record, winning four of five matches at home with a 60% win rate. They score around 0.80 goals per game but face difficulties offensively away from... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 February 2026 at 15:30

Estrela

Estrela

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

20 February 2026

19:45

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Tondela

Tondela

The upcoming clash between Estrela and Tondela promises to be a close encounter, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. Estrela, with an overall form of LLDWL, averages 1.20 points per game and scores around 1.30 goals while conceding 2.10. Their home form is slightly better, with 1.60 points per game and a 40% win rate, though they’ve only kept clean sheets in 40% of home matche... Read More...

This match will be played on 20 February 2026 at 19:45

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
2 March 2026 • 08:05 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
FamalicaoFamalicaoAroucaArouca06/03/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AlvercaAlvercaAFSAFS07/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
MoreirenseMoreirenseNacionalNacional07/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
BragaBragaSportingSporting07/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
EstorilEstorilCasa PiaCasa Pia07/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
EstrelaEstrelaGil VicenteGil Vicente08/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
BenficaBenficaPortoPorto08/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
Santa ClaraSanta ClaraGuimaraesGuimaraes08/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
TondelaTondelaRio AveRio Ave09/03/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.52
Away Teams 1.23
Total (Combined) 2.75
32.7 min/Goal (594 Goals in 216 matches)
59% Clean Sheets (128 times out of 216 matches)
47% Both Teams Scored (101 times out of 216 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 42%
Draw 25%
Away Win 33%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 11%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 23%
Under 2.5 44%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 89%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.19
Shots / Match (Home) 12.67
Shots / Match (Away) 11.51
Fouls Per Match 27.86
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.93
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.93
Offsides Per Match 3.22
Players Participated 613

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 24 21 2 1 47 8 +39 65 LDWWW
2 Sporting CP 24 19 4 1 62 12 +50 61 WDWWW
3 Benfica 24 17 7 0 51 14 +37 58 DWWWW
4 Sporting Braga 24 13 6 5 50 23 +27 45 WWLWW
5 Gil Vicente 24 11 7 6 35 23 +12 40 WWWLL
6 Famalicão 24 10 6 8 29 21 +8 36 LWLWD
7 Moreirense FC 24 10 4 10 30 34 -4 34 LLWLD
8 GD Estoril Praia 24 9 6 9 46 42 +4 33 WDLWL
9 Vitória Guimarães 24 9 5 10 28 35 -7 32 WLWLD
10 Alverca 24 7 6 11 24 39 -15 27 DLDDD
11 FC Arouca 24 7 5 12 32 52 -20 26 WWLWL
12 Estrela Amadora 24 5 9 10 26 41 -15 24 DWLLD
13 Casa Pia 24 5 8 11 26 44 -18 23 WDWLD
14 CD Nacional 24 5 6 13 28 36 -8 21 LDLLL
15 Rio Ave FC 24 4 9 11 23 44 -21 21 LLLLD
16 Santa Clara 24 4 7 13 20 31 -11 19 LLLDD
17 CD Tondela 24 4 7 13 19 38 -19 19 DDDWD
18 AVS 24 1 6 17 18 57 -39 9 LLWLD

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
27/02/2026, 18:45 Porto 3 - 1 FC Arouca
27/02/2026, 20:45 Sporting CP 3 - 0 GD Estoril Praia
28/02/2026, 15:30 AVS 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora
28/02/2026, 18:00 CD Nacional 1 - 2 Sporting Braga
28/02/2026, 20:30 Vitória Guimarães 1 - 1 Alverca
01/03/2026, 15:30 CD Tondela 2 - 2 Santa Clara
01/03/2026, 18:00 Casa Pia 1 - 1 Moreirense FC
01/03/2026, 20:30 Rio Ave FC 0 - 0 Famalicão
02/03/2026, 20:15 Gil Vicente 1 - 2 Benfica

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
06/03/2026, 20:15 Famalicão - FC Arouca
07/03/2026, 15:30 Alverca - AVS
07/03/2026, 15:30 Moreirense FC - CD Nacional
07/03/2026, 18:00 Sporting Braga - Sporting CP
07/03/2026, 20:30 GD Estoril Praia - Casa Pia
08/03/2026, 15:30 Estrela Amadora - Gil Vicente
08/03/2026, 18:00 Benfica - Porto
08/03/2026, 20:30 Santa Clara - Vitória Guimarães
09/03/2026, 20:15 CD Tondela - Rio Ave FC

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top division with analysis of leading clubs, tactical styles, and season trends.
  • Serie A Predictions. Serie A forecasts follow Italy’s premier competition with detailed insights into key fixtures and player form.
  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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