Porto continue their push at the top of the table as they take on Arouca on Matchday 24. As Estoril are hit by suspensions, our prediction firmly points toward a routine 3-0 home win. The Dragons will be without banned midfielder Alan Varela, while Fernandes, Kiwior, Samu, and Perez remain sidelined through injury. Even so, Farioli’s squad depth has kept performances stable, with Porto averaging 2.60 points per game at home and conceding just 0.40 goals at the Estadio do Dragao. Their defensive numbers stand out: 60% clean sheets overall and an xGA of just 1.07 at home.
Os Lobos are in decent form (1.70 PPG), but seriously hit by suspensions: Tiago Esgaio, Lee, and Van Ee are all ruled out. While Arouca average a strong 2.70 total goals per match and have kept 50% clean sheets, their away concessions (1.20 per match) suggest problems against the league leaders. Historically, this matchup is heavily one-sided—Porto have won 15 of the last 18 H2Hs, scoring freely with 72% of meetings going over 2.5 goals.
With Porto’s home dominance and Arouca missing key starters, the Dragons should control the tempo from start to finish. Therefore, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Porto -1.5 and Porto to Win to Nil.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Friday 27 February 2026 at 18:45.
What is our Porto vs Arouca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Porto 3 - 0 Arouca
Porto vs Arouca Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-0 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Oskar Pietuszewski @ 100 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Oskar Pietuszewski @ 350 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Estoril +0.25 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: FC Arouca +4 @ -800 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -800 Odds
- Draw No Bet: FC Porto to Win @ -1600 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: FC Porto to Win/FC Porto to Win @ -138 Odds
- Clean Sheet: FC Porto - Yes @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Porto vs Arouca?
You can place your bets on Porto vs Arouca at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferPorto Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldww | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Away | wwdlw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 1.07 | 1.09 |
Arouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlw | 1.70 |
| Home | wdlww | 2.00 |
| Away | dlwwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.12 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.07 | 1.15 | 0.98 |
Porto vs Arouca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Porto (83%)
18 Matches
Arouca (11%)
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