Porto host Estrela in a Primeira Liga round 14 clash where the Portuguese giants look strong on paper despite injury absences. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a routine 2-0 home win. Luuk de Jong and Nehuen Perez are sidelined, but coach Francesco Farioli still has the core of his squad available and the Dragons have been excellent this season, averaging 2.20 points per game overall and 2.40 at home. They score 2.00 goals per home match while conceding only 0.80, and their expected goals (xG) near 1.72 at home reflects consistent attacking quality. Defensively, Porto keep clean sheets in 60% of home games and have failed to score in none, underscoring both attacking potential and solidity.
Estrela arrive in solid mid-table form with 1.10 points per game, scoring 1.40 goals and conceding 1.80. Their away record is more modest (0.80 PPG), and they’ve struggled to keep clean sheets on the road. BTTS occurs in about 40% of Porto’s games, but Estrela’s shaky defence could be punished here. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team.
Taking everything into account, Home Win is the safest bet here, with additional value on Under 3.5 goals and Porto to Keep a Clean Sheet due to their strong home defensive numbers and Estrela’s scoring challenges.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday 15 December 2025 at 20:45.
What is our Porto vs Estrela prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Porto 2 - 0 Estrela
Porto vs Estrela Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
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View OfferPorto Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlw | 2.20 |
| Home | wwwwl | 2.40 |
| Away | lwdww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.72 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.88 | 0.84 | 0.92 |
Estrela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdlw | 1.10 |
| Home | lwldw | 1.40 |
| Away | dllwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.53 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.22 | 1.69 |
Porto vs Estrela Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Porto (75%)
4 Matches
Estrela (25%)
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