Rio Ave and Arouca meet in a lower-table clash where both sides are desperate to stabilise their form. Given their struggles up front, we predict a 1-1 draw. Os Rioavistas enter with only 0.90 points per game overall and just 0.80 PPG at home, scoring a modest 0.90 goals per match while conceding 2.10. Their underlying numbers also reflect the struggle: a low 0.99 xG and a worrying 1.89 xGA, highlighting why they have failed to score in 50% of their fixtures. Still, having a full squad available offers some optimism.
Arouca sit just below them with 0.80 PPG, but their attacking output is slightly better at 1.10 goals per game, supported by a stronger 1.29 xG. However, the suspension of key defender Matias Rocha comes at a bad time for a back line already conceding 2.00 goals per match. Their away numbers (0.67 PPG, 1.22 xG, 1.56 xGA) suggest vulnerability on the road.
The H2H trend leans toward Rio Ave, who have won 7 of 18 meetings, though matches between these sides tend to be tight and low-margin. As both teams average low scoring efficiency, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 31 January 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Rio Ave vs Arouca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rio Ave 1 - 1 Arouca
Rio Ave vs Arouca Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Romualdas Jansonas @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Romualdas Jansonas @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Rio Ave +0.5 @ -211 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferRio Ave Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwll | 0.90 |
| Home | ldlwl | 0.80 |
| Away | dwdll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 0.99 | 0.87 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.89 | 1.88 | 1.91 |
Arouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlwl | 0.80 |
| Home | lwdl | 1.00 |
| Away | lldlw | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.42 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.33 | 1.56 |
Rio Ave vs Arouca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rio Ave (39%)
18 Matches
Arouca (28%)
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge
Southampton
QPR
Bradford
Rotherham
Burton
Stockport County
