Rio Ave look to bounce back after a heavy 4-0 defeat to Sporting, but their recent numbers suggest they remain competitive at home despite inconsistency. Casa Pia and Rio Ave, though, seem to be evenly matched and we predict that they will play out a 1-1 draw on Matchday 17. Os Rioavistas average 1.00 goal per match at home with an xG of 0.89, while conceding 1.50, highlighting a fine margin between success and failure. Rio Ave’s overall 60% BTTS rate and 3.10 average goals per game indicate they are regularly involved in open matches. The return of Tamas Nikitscher and Clayton from suspension further strengthens their options. No fresh injury worries for the home side.
The visitors, meanwhile, travel well, collecting 1.40 PPG away, a significant upgrade compared to their poor home form. They score 1.40 goals per away match and concede 1.60, with an away expected goals of 0.89, showing a tendency to overperform offensively on the road. Their overall form remains mixed, but recent results show signs of improvement thanks to a more pragmatic approach. Midfielder Iyad Mohamed is on international duty, though he is not considered a key starter.
As both sides average around 3.0 total goals per match, BTTS is our main betting tip for this Primeira Liga matchup, with additional value on Draw and Half-Time Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Rio Ave vs Casa Pia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rio Ave 1 - 1 Casa Pia
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Clayton Silva @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferRio Ave Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldl | 1.20 |
| Home | wldl | 1.00 |
| Away | wdwdl | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.07 | 0.89 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.74 | 1.64 | 1.81 |
Casa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlwd | 0.90 |
| Home | lldld | 0.40 |
| Away | ldwlw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 0.95 | 1.01 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.23 | 1.48 |
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rio Ave (44%)
9 Matches
Casa Pia (22%)
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