Rio Ave return home looking to halt a worrying slide after their 3-0 defeat to Braga, but they at least welcome back defender Francisco Petrasso from suspension. Anyhow, we predict a 1-1 draw as the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment. Sotiris Silaidopoulos' side continue to struggle at both ends of the pitch: Os Rioavistas have failed to score in 60% of their matches and concede 2.20 goals per game overall. Their expected goals numbers (1.00 for, 1.86 against) reflect a team lacking attacking sharpness and defensive resilience. Home advantage hasn’t helped either, with just 0.80 points per game at Arcos.
Moreirense travel to Vila do Konde without key defender Alvaro Martinez, suspended after his red card in the 2-1 loss to Gil Vicente. His absence is a significant blow to a defence that otherwise keeps 40% clean sheets. Moreirense remain a streaky side—capable of strong spells but inconsistent away, where they average 1.00 point per game. Still, they score more regularly than Rio Ave and show slightly better balance in both expected goals and defensive structure.
Historically, Rio Ave hold an edge in this fixture, but current form suggests a tight, cagey encounter. As both teams have been low-scoring and cautious recently, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals, with additional value on Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday 16 February 2026 at 20:15.
What is our Rio Ave vs Moreirense prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rio Ave 1 - 1 Moreirense
Rio Ave vs Moreirense Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Cedric Teguia @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Cedric Teguia @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Rio Ave +0.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Rio Ave +1 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -175 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Rio Ave to Win @ 100 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Moreirense - No @ -225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Rio Ave vs Moreirense?
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View OfferRio Ave Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllll | 0.80 |
| Home | dlwll | 0.80 |
| Away | wdlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.00 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.86 | 1.79 | 1.93 |
Moreirense Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwll | 1.20 |
| Home | dlwwl | 1.40 |
| Away | ddwll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.06 | 0.75 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.26 |
Rio Ave vs Moreirense Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rio Ave (43%)
23 Matches
Moreirense (30%)
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