What is our Rio Ave vs Nacional prediction?
Rio Ave
1 - 0
Nacional
Our prediction for this match: Rio Ave 1 - 0 Nacional
Rio Ave vs Nacional Preview
Estadio do Rio Ave will host Sunday's football game between Rio Ave and Nacional, with the home side desperate to end a four-game winless run. Os Rioavistas aim to recover from a 1-0 defeat to Alverca, where they managed just 0.31 xG, while their home form has been particularly worrying, with no wins in their last five fixtures. Vrousai and Clemmensen are both pushing for a start as changes are expected, but Rio Ave have scored just 0.80 goals per home game across their last 10 matches.
Nacional, on the other hand, are on a five-game losing run in the Portuguese top flight following a heavy 4-0 defeat to Famalicao. The visitors have also struggled badly away from home, winning none of their last four road fixtures and scoring just 0.50 goals per game. Fernandes, Gavriel and Kokolo are all pushing for a start after coming off the bench last time out. Despite the heavy defeat, Nacional registered 1.58 xG against Famalicao, suggesting they were more dangerous than the scoreline indicated.
Considering Rio Ave’s home advantage and Nacional’s poor away record, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Rio Ave DNB and Rio Ave or Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 15:30.
- League
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Sun 11 Oct 2026, 15:30UK time
Rio Ave vs Nacional Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Rio Ave 1-0 Nacional | 7/1 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 3/10 | |
| Draw No Bet: Rio Ave | 1/2 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Rio Ave / Rio Ave | 9/4 | |
| Asian Handicap: Rio Ave 0 | 1/2 | |
| European Handicap: Rio Ave +1 | 2/7 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Jalen Blesa | 8/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Jalen Blesa | 5/1 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 5/2 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 17/20 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/9 | |
| Rio Ave Clean Sheet: Yes | 7/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Rio Ave vs Nacional?
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferRio Ave Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldllwlldl | 0.60 |
| Home | dllld | 0.40 |
| Away | dlwll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 0.96 | 1.17 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.84 | 1.73 | 1.95 |
Nacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwddwlllll | 0.80 |
| Home | wdwlll | 1.17 |
| Away | ldll | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.83 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.09 | 1.28 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.58 | 1.36 | 1.85 |
Rio Ave vs Nacional Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rio Ave (38%)
24 Matches
Nacional (29%)
Rio Ave vs Nacional Past Results
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