Following a 1-1 draw with Famalicao, Sporting CP will be aiming to return to winning ways after Inacio scored a late own-goal to spoil the Lions’ party. The capital club produced 2.29 xG in that match and will continue relying on in-form striker Luis Suarez to lead the attack. The hosts have been particularly strong at home, winning 86% of their last seven matches at their own stadium while averaging 2.57 goals per game.
Arouca, on the other hand, failed to impress in a 2-1 defeat to Santa Clara. Pablo Gozalbed limped off with an injury in that match, with fellow midfielder Mateo Flores likely to step up. Arouca have won 50% of their last 10 matches, but their defensive numbers remain a concern, with 1.55 expected goals against per game. They also face a daunting H2H record against Sporting, having lost 15 of their previous 18 meetings.
As Sporting have won 86% of their last seven home matches and 15 of 18 H2H meetings with Arouca, Home Win seems like a sure bet. Additionally, Sporting -1.5 and Over 2.5 goals bets are worth considering (72% H2H).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Sporting vs Arouca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sporting 3 - 0 Arouca
Sporting vs Arouca Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-0 @ 600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ -138 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ 333 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Sporting -1.5 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Sporting -1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1000 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Sporting to Win @ -2000 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Sporting to Win/Sporting to Win @ -175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Sporting - Yes @ -125 Odds
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View OfferSporting Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdwwwwwd | 2.30 |
| Home | lwwwwww | 2.57 |
| Away | dwd | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 86% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.57 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 2.57 | 2.33 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 71% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.80 | 1.81 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
Arouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwwwlwdl | 1.70 |
| Home | dwwwl | 2.00 |
| Away | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.46 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.18 | 1.92 |
Sporting vs Arouca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sporting (83%)
18 Matches
Arouca (6%)
