Sporting CP look to keep pressure on league leaders Porto as they host an improving Estoril side in Lisbon. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, our prediction leans toward a 3-1 home win. The Lions enter this clash in excellent form, taking 2.50 points per game overall and winning all their home matches this season. Amorim, however, cannot count on Debast and Quenda, both sidelined through injury. Even so, Sporting’s attacking output remains strong, averaging 3.00 goals per game at home, supported by an impressive 2.01 expected goals.
Os Canarinhos travel north with confidence after recording 1.90 PPG overall and an excellent 2.60 PPG at home, though their away performances (1.20 PPG) remain inconsistent. Defender Or Israelov is expected to be their only absentee. Estoril’s matches tend to be high-scoring, averaging 4.20 total goals per game, but their away defense is vulnerable, conceding 2.40 goals on average. That could be costly against a Sporting side who score in every match and rarely fail to control possession.
Historically, Sporting dominate this fixture with 16 wins from 22 H2Hs, and the Lions’ superior squad depth and home form make them clear favourites. Therefore, Sporting to Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Sporting -1.5.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45.
What is our Sporting vs Estoril prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sporting 3 - 1 Estoril
Sporting vs Estoril Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ -225 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ 250 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Estoril +2.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Estoril +3 @ -163 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1000 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Sporting to Win @ -1600 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Sporting to Win/Sporting to Win @ -175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Sporting - No @ -150 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Sporting vs Estoril?
You can place your bets on Sporting vs Estoril at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferSporting Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdww | 2.50 |
| Home | wwwww | 2.50 |
| Away | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.82 | 2.01 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 1.23 | 0.95 |
Estoril Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdlw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Away | llwwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.20 | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.57 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.36 | 1.59 |
Sporting vs Estoril Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sporting (73%)
22 Matches
Estoril (14%)
