wSporting CP welcome Nacional to the Estadio Jose Alvalade in a Primeira Liga game, aiming to continue their dominant form. As Nacional are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a routine 3-1 home win. The Lions have been impressive, winning 80% of matches overall, with 2.50 points per game. At home, they maintain 2.40 PPG, scoring 3.20 goals per match while conceding just 0.60, and keeping clean sheets in 60% of home fixtures. Defender Gonçalo Inacio is doubtful after picking up a knock in the Champions League, but Sporting’s depth ensures stability. Their expected goals (xG) of 2.08 at home highlights consistent attacking threat.
Nacional, on the other hand, have struggled away with just 0.33 PPG, despite an emphatic 4-0 win over Rio Ave at home. They score 2.75 goals per home game, but concede 1.50, and have kept only 25% clean sheets at home. As their overall xG (1.39) shows fewer attacking opportunities compared to Sporting, the visitors are seen as big underdogs in Sunday's clash.
Sporting are a real force to be reckoned with at home an given their dominant H2H record, we predict Home Win, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals as both teams average over 3 goals per game. Luis Suarez to Score bet also seems appealing.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 1 February 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Sporting vs Nacional prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sporting 3 - 1 Nacional
Sporting vs Nacional Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ -225 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ 240 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Nacional +2.5 @ -130 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferSporting Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwww | 2.50 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | wwdww | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.88 | 2.08 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.27 | 1.53 |
Nacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldlw | 0.90 |
| Home | lwdw | 1.75 |
| Away | lldll | 0.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.25 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.75 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.22 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 2.21 | 1.48 |
Sporting vs Nacional Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sporting (69%)
26 Matches
Nacional (4%)
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