Sporting vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips | 29/04/2026

Sporting vs Tondela Prediction and Betting Tips | 29 April 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

27 April 2026 • 11:45 UTC • 1 min read

Sporting vs Tondela Prediction and Betting Tips 29 April 2026

Sporting and Tondela go head to head in a crucial Primeira Liga clash, with Sporting needing a response after dropping points in a 1-1 draw with AFS as they continue their push for Champions League qualification. As David faces Goliath at Estadio Jose Alvalade, we predict a 3-0 home win. The Lions' form has been inconsistent, but they still average 1.50 points per game and 1.60 goals scored. At home they are more potent, averaging 2.50 goals per match, especially with top scorer Luis Suarez returning to the starting XI, though the absence of Morten Hjulmand is a midfield concern.

Tondela, on the other hand, travel to Lisbon under pressure in a relegation battle after a 2-0 defeat to Nacional. Their form shows little consistency, averaging just 0.80 points per game and scoring only 0.90 goals per match. Injuries to Rodrigo Conceicao and suspension for Tiago Manso weaken an already fragile defence conceding 1.70 per game.

Given Sporting's dominant H2H record and stronger squad, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Over 2.5 Goals and Sporting -1.5 (Lions' home games trend high scoring).

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 20:15.

What is our Sporting vs Tondela prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Sporting 3 - 0 Tondela

Sporting vs Tondela Betting Tips

Correct Score: 3-0 @ 600 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -150 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ -250 Odds
First Goalscorer: Luis Suarez @ 240 Odds
Asian Handicap: Sporting -2 @ -191 Odds
European Handicap: Tie - Tondela +3 @ 1400 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -1200 Odds
Draw No Bet: Sporting to Win @ -5000 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Sporting to Win/Sporting to Win @ -225 Odds
Clean Sheet: Sporting - Yes @ -138 Odds

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Sporting Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwwwlwdldd	1.50
Home	wwll	1.50
Away	lwwddd	1.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Average Goals Per Game	2.60	3.75	1.83
Scored	1.60	2.50	1.00
Conceded	1.00	1.25	0.83
BTTS	40%	50%	33%
Clean Sheets	40%	25%	50%
Failed to Score	40%	25%	50%
Expected Goals	1.81	2.51	1.34
Expected Goals Against	1.28	1.19	1.35

Tondela Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ddwdldldll	0.80
Home	ddlddl	0.67
Away	dwll	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	0%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	2.60	2.17	3.25
Scored	0.90	0.83	1.00
Conceded	1.70	1.33	2.25
BTTS	40%	50%	25%
Clean Sheets	20%	17%	25%
Failed to Score	50%	50%	50%
Expected Goals	1.19	1.47	0.79
Expected Goals Against	1.55	1.40	1.79