Tondela return home aiming to respond after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Rio Ave. As Tondela will not have a better chance than this to return to winning ways, we predict a 3-1 home win. Emmanuel Maviram remains doubtful, but there are no new injury issues. Their recent form is mixed, collecting 1.00 points per game across the last 10 matches. At home, Tondela average 2.00 total goals, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00, with a 50% BTTS rate and 1.00 xG. Cristiano Bacci's troops struggle for consistency in attack, having failed to score in 50% of recent home games.
AFS continue to battle against relegation but enter this game with Paulo Vítor suspended and bleak survival hopes. Their away numbers are worrying: 0.40 PPG, 0% win rate, and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Despite producing 1.26 xG away, AFS often lack efficiency, failing to score in 40% of road games. Their defensive line leaks regularly, reflected in an xGA of 2.07 away from home.
Head-to-head history clearly favors Tondela, who have won two of the last three meetings, with 67% BTTS and high-scoring tendencies. Given Tondela's better home stability and AFS’s recent 0% away win rate, Home Win seems like a sure bet, with additional value on Tondela to Score First and Tondela -1.5.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Tondela vs AFS prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Tondela 3 - 1 AFS
Tondela vs AFS Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Tondela -0.5 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: Tondela +1 @ -550 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Tondela to Win @ -334 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Tondela to Win/Tondela to Win @ 200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Tondela - No @ -163 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Tondela vs AFS?
You can place your bets on Tondela vs AFS at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferTondela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllldddwdl | 1.00 |
| Home | wldddl | 1.00 |
| Away | lldw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.58 | 1.29 |
AFS Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlllwlddl | 0.60 |
| Home | llwdl | 0.80 |
| Away | dllld | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.22 | 1.17 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.82 | 1.58 | 2.07 |
Tondela vs AFS Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Tondela (67%)
3 Matches
AFS (0%)
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Chelsea
Port Vale
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Southampton
Arsenal
Getafe
Athletic Bilbao
Valencia
Celta Vigo
