Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips | 11/05/2026

Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction and Betting Tips | 11 May 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

10 May 2026 • 21:25 UTC • 1 min read

Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction and Betting Tips 11 May 2026

Tondela take on Moreirense in a tense clash with real stakes at both ends of the table. As both sides struggle up front, we predict a 1-1 draw. The hosts are desperate to climb out of the relegation zone and come into this game without fresh injury concerns, which could be vital as they look for consistency. Their recent form reads just 1.00 points per game over the last ten, with a low 20% win rate and only 0.90 goals scored per match, while conceding 1.60. At home, things look even tougher—no wins in five and a 60% failure-to-score rate.

Moreirense, meanwhile, sit comfortably mid-table but are hardly convincing. The visitors average just 0.90 points per game recently and have failed to win away in their last four. Defensive issues persist, conceding 1.70 goals per match overall, and they’ll miss suspended midfielder Rodri. Historically, this fixture is tight, with both sides sharing six wins each in 17 meetings, and 65% of matches seeing both teams score.

As both teams struggle offensively, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw, and Draw.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:15.

What is our Tondela vs Moreirense prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Tondela 1 - 1 Moreirense

Tondela vs Moreirense Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 550 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -134 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Makan Aiko @ 187 Odds
First Goalscorer: Makan Aiko @ 550 Odds
Asian Handicap: Moreirense +1 @ -236 Odds
European Handicap: Moreirense +1 @ -120 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -120 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 400 Odds
Clean Sheet: Tondela - No @ -200 Odds

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Tondela Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdldldlldw	1.00
Home	dlddl	0.60
Away	wlldw	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	0%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	2.20	2.80
Scored	0.90	0.80	1.00
Conceded	1.60	1.40	1.80
BTTS	30%	40%	20%
Clean Sheets	30%	20%	40%
Failed to Score	50%	60%	40%
Expected Goals	1.13	1.38	0.87
Expected Goals Against	1.53	1.43	1.62

Moreirense Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lddllldwlw	0.90
Home	ldllww	1.17
Away	dldl	0.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	2.17	3.00
Scored	0.80	0.83	0.75
Conceded	1.70	1.33	2.25
BTTS	50%	33%	75%
Clean Sheets	10%	17%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	50%	25%
Expected Goals	0.95	1.04	0.80
Expected Goals Against	1.53	1.38	1.76