Tondela face a crucial clash in their fight for survival as they host Nacional, with both sides hovering dangerously close to the drop zone. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach, we predict a 1-1 draw. The hosts come into this after a 2-0 loss to Porto and have struggled for consistency all season, averaging just 0.90 points per game. Their biggest issue is in attack, scoring only 0.90 goals per match and failing to score in 50% of games. Suspensions to Pedro Maranhao and Marques further complicate matters, especially in maintaining balance.
Nacional travel to Dao-Lafoes with slightly worse overall form (0.80 PPG), but boosted by a 1-0 win over Alverca last time out. However, their away record is a major concern, collecting just 0.25 points per game and scoring a mere 0.25 goals per match on the road, failing to score in 75% of those fixtures. Midfielder Chiheb Labidi is suspended, which could limit their already blunt attacking play.
As both sides average under 1 goal scored per game and have high failed-to-score rates, pointing to a low-scoring match. Therefore, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw, and Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Tondela vs Nacional prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Tondela 1 - 1 Nacional
Tondela vs Nacional Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -112 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka @ 160 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Tondela +0.5 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Tondela +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Nacional - No @ -334 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Tondela vs Nacional?
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View OfferTondela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dddwdldldl | 0.90 |
| Home | dddldd | 0.83 |
| Away | dwll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 1.83 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.03 | 1.19 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.66 | 1.58 | 1.79 |
Nacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllldllwlw | 0.80 |
| Home | dlllww | 1.17 |
| Away | ldll | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.60 | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.25 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.67 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.31 | 1.55 |
Tondela vs Nacional Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Tondela (36%)
14 Matches
Nacional (50%)
Castellon
Cadiz
Leuven
Antwerp
Cordoba
Albacete
Hibernian
Motherwell
Falkirk
Rangers
Celtic
Hearts
