Tondela vs Rio Ave Prediction & Betting Tips | 09/03/2026

Tondela vs Rio Ave Prediction and Betting Tips | 9 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

5 March 2026 • 11:24 UTC • 1 min read

Tondela vs Rio Ave Prediction and Betting Tips 9 March 2026

Tondela and Rio Ave meet in a crucial clash at the bottom of the table, with both teams desperate for points to avoid the drop. As both sides are likely to adopt an attack-minded approach, we predict a 2-1 home win. Tondela come in with a draw at Santa Clara (2-2) and an inconsistent run of dddwd in the last 5 matches. Home form is poor, with only 1 win in the last 6 home matches, but they have a slight edge offensively, averaging 1.17 goals per home match, while conceding 1.17 goals at home. Midfielder Juan Rodriguez is doubtful, which could weaken their midfield control.

Rio Ave are in an even worse run of form: lllld in the last 5, and they’ve failed to win any away matches this season. Their attack has struggled, scoring only 0.40 goals per away match, while conceding 2.80 goals on the road. Midfielder Brandon Aguilera Zamora remains injured, limiting creativity. Anyhow, Os Rioavistas are seen as big underdogs in Monday's relegation six-pointer.

Given Rio Ave's four-game losing run on the road, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals as most H2H clashes have been open and high-scoring.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday 9 March 2026 at 20:15.

What is our Tondela vs Rio Ave prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Tondela 2 - 1 Rio Ave

Tondela vs Rio Ave Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 107 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka @ 150 Odds
First Goalscorer: Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka @ 450 Odds
Asian Handicap: Tondela 0 @ -182 Odds
European Handicap: Tondela +1 @ -350 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
Draw No Bet: Tondela to Win @ -200 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Tondela to Win/Tondela to Win @ 250 Odds
Clean Sheet: Tondela - No @ -225 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Tondela vs Rio Ave?

You can place your bets on Tondela vs Rio Ave at the following bookmakers:

18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Tondela Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwllldddwd	1.00
Home	lwlddd	1.00
Away	lldw	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	17%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	2.33	2.50
Scored	1.10	1.17	1.00
Conceded	1.30	1.17	1.50
BTTS	50%	67%	25%
Clean Sheets	20%	17%	25%
Failed to Score	40%	33%	50%
Expected Goals	0.96	1.05	0.83
Expected Goals Against	1.49	1.63	1.29

Rio Ave Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dlwlllllld	0.50
Home	wllld	0.80
Away	dllll	0.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	20%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	2.40	3.20
Scored	0.60	0.80	0.40
Conceded	2.20	1.60	2.80
BTTS	30%	40%	20%
Clean Sheets	10%	20%	0%
Failed to Score	70%	60%	80%
Expected Goals	1.02	1.31	0.72
Expected Goals Against	1.86	1.64	2.07